Plain versions of the NWS discussions issued that day. wxexplained wasn't running yet: they were written later (Fri Nov 6) from the NWS text, the same way and with the same checks. This is not the current forecast. Today's forecast
Alerts
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping NWS alerts on November 6, 2026. See the NWS discussion below for the watches and warnings it listed.
3 versions of the page that day, oldest first.
From the 12:10 a.m. discussion
From the NWS discussion issued 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters have high confidence the heat-producing pattern breaks down over several days, gone by Wednesday. The cold front's timing is unclear, and storm details for later in the week and weekend are not settled.
- Shower and storm chances (30-50%) this afternoon and evening.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
There is a SPC Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for severe storms for most of the area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
The main hazards are damaging wind gusts, hail, and locally heavy rainfall.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Areas across northern Missouri can also expect "cooler" high temperatures in the upper 80s and low 90s once again on Monday, with areas between the US-36 and I-70 corridors in the low/mid 90s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
South of I-70 and near the MO/KS border, temperatures are expected to remain in the mid/upper 90s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
- Hazardous and prolonged heat continues.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
The Extreme Heat Warning continues for the Kansas City Metro and south until 8 PM on Tuesday where there is higher confidence in 105F heat index values.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Additional heat headlines may need to be considered for portions of central Missouri on Tuesday and Wednesday but will defer to future forecast cycles as the timing of a midweek cold front remains unclear.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
If this holds true, a headline on Wednesday would probably be unnecessary but a headline may still be warranted in central MO on Tuesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Currently, the most likely timeframe for the front to move through looks to be overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Several more rain and storm chances are in the future, specifically on Wednesday, Thursday, and over the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
By Thursday, widespread relief from that frontal passage will arrive with temperatures in the low/mid 80s across northern Missouri and northeastern Kansas and in the mid/upper 80s around and south of I- 70.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Shear certainly looks sufficient to support some organized convection, but there are still too many details to be ironed out before any definitive statements can be made.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
this transition is high confidenceNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
the ridge being fully suppressed by WednesdayNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
A Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for severe storms. Main hazards: damaging wind gusts, hail and locally heavy rain.
Hazardous and prolonged heat. The Extreme Heat Warning runs until 8 PM tonight for areas generally south of US-36 and until 8 PM Tuesday for the Kansas City Metro and some surrounding counties.
There is a SPC Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for severe storms for most of the area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
The main hazards are damaging wind gusts, hail, and locally heavy rainfall.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect until 8 PM tonight for areas generally south of US-36 and until Tuesday at 8 PM for the Kansas City Metro and some surrounding counties.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
- Hazardous and prolonged heat continues.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Additional heat headlines may need to be considered for portions of central Missouri on Tuesday and Wednesday but will defer to future forecast cycles as the timing of a midweek cold front remains unclear.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
If this holds true, a headline on Wednesday would probably be unnecessary but a headline may still be warranted in central MO on Tuesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Shear certainly looks sufficient to support some organized convection, but there are still too many details to be ironed out before any definitive statements can be made.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
There is a SPC Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for severe storms for most of the area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
SPC has maintained the Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather in our area this afternoon and evening with the main threats being hail and damaging winds.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Issued at 145 PM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
WPC has a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 4) of excessive rainfall in northwestern Missouri today and tonight.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect until 8 PM tonight for areas generally south of US-36 and until Tuesday at 8 PM for the Kansas City Metro and some surrounding counties.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
MO...Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT Tuesday for MOZ028-029-037- 043-053.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.
From the 3:52 a.m. discussion
From the NWS discussion issued 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters say Tuesday's heat is likely. Some uncertainty remains in how fast Wednesday's cold front moves south, which affects temperatures south of Highway 36. The severe storm threat appears fairly muted.
a few mainly elevated showers and non-severe storms remainNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
These will generally drift SE with the mid-level flow and gradually subside.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
For today though, existing surface high over the Great Lakes will keep winds out of the E/SE and should yield temperatures a couple/few degrees cooler than seen Sunday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Unfortunately, that also means well above normal temperatures continue for a bit longer, re- surging/peaking on Tuesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Tuesday likely sees highs back to the mid 90s to 100 across the area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Shower and storm activity is also expected as the front drops through.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Expect highs to fall back into the mid 80s across northern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Some uncertainty lingers in how quickly the front will drop south Wednesday, leading to high temperature spreads in excess of 7 deg F south of Highway 36.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
This too keeps the notion of a possible heat headline in play Wednesday for southern areas where these wide spreads include the potential for upper 90s to 100 and heat index values that would at least approach Advisory criteria.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Relief overspreads the entirety of the area by Thursday, with forecast highs ranging from the low to mid 80s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Large scale pattern looks to remain more zonal in nature through the weekend and beyond, which will also allow additional periodic chances for showers and storms.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
At this point, those chances appear to be in the Friday/Saturday and Monday/Tuesday time frames as deterministic and ensemble guidance depict shortwave troughs sliding through.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
The threat for severe storms appears fairly muted with NBM SBCAPE probabilities of >1000 J/kg widely 60 percent or less and supportive deep layer shear primarily post-frontal.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
An Extreme Heat Warning, an official alert for hazardous heat, is in effect through 8 PM Tuesday for the Kansas City Metro and immediately surrounding counties.
Another short-lasting heat alert may be needed Tuesday for areas north, northeast and east of the current warning as heat briefly surges back across Missouri.
A heat alert remains possible Wednesday for southern areas where the range of forecasts includes highs of upper 90s to 100 and heat index values that would at least approach Advisory criteria.
Storms return Wednesday and may include a few strong to severe ones, mainly with wind, though the threat appears fairly muted. The Storm Prediction Center has Day 2 and 3 Marginal Risk outlooks for portions of the area.
- Hazardous and prolonged heat continues for portions of the forecast area through at least Tuesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
- Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect through 8 PM Tuesday for Kansas City Metro and immediately surrounding counties.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
- Additional short-duration heat headlines may be necessary Tuesday as renewed heat briefly surges back across Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Given the current headline orientation, Excessive Heat Warning for the KC Metro area counties and areas W and S through Tuesday, an additional short- duration headline may be necessary for surrounding areas to the N/NE/E.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
This too keeps the notion of a possible heat headline in play Wednesday for southern areas where these wide spreads include the potential for upper 90s to 100 and heat index values that would at least approach Advisory criteria.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
- Shower and thunderstorm chances return to the area Wednesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
This may include the potential for a few strong to severe storms.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
The threat for severe storms appears fairly muted with NBM SBCAPE probabilities of >1000 J/kg widely 60 percent or less and supportive deep layer shear primarily post-frontal.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Some noted dry air in the lowest levels may yield some wind potential though.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
The current SPC Day 2 and 3 Marginal Risks over portions of the area feel appropriate.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Some uncertainty lingers in how quickly the front will drop south Wednesday, leading to high temperature spreads in excess of 7 deg F south of Highway 36.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
This too keeps the notion of a possible heat headline in play Wednesday for southern areas where these wide spreads include the potential for upper 90s to 100 and heat index values that would at least approach Advisory criteria.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
This too keeps the notion of a possible heat headline in play Wednesday for southern areas where these wide spreads include the potential for upper 90s to 100 and heat index values that would at least approach Advisory criteria.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Currently, the most likely timeframe for the front to move through looks to be overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
If this holds true, a headline on Wednesday would probably be unnecessary but a headline may still be warranted in central MO on Tuesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Given the current headline orientation, Excessive Heat Warning for the KC Metro area counties and areas W and S through Tuesday, an additional short- duration headline may be necessary for surrounding areas to the N/NE/E.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Additional heat headlines may need to be considered for portions of central Missouri on Tuesday and Wednesday but will defer to future forecast cycles as the timing of a midweek cold front remains unclear.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
The threat for severe storms appears fairly muted with NBM SBCAPE probabilities of >1000 J/kg widely 60 percent or less and supportive deep layer shear primarily post-frontal.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
This may include the potential for a few strong to severe storms.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Shear certainly looks sufficient to support some organized convection, but there are still too many details to be ironed out before any definitive statements can be made.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Relief overspreads the entirety of the area by Thursday, with forecast highs ranging from the low to mid 80s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
By Thursday, widespread relief from that frontal passage will arrive with temperatures in the low/mid 80s across northern Missouri and northeastern Kansas and in the mid/upper 80s around and south of I- 70.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:10 a.m. Mon Sep 7
- Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect through 8 PM Tuesday for Kansas City Metro and immediately surrounding counties.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Given the current headline orientation, Excessive Heat Warning for the KC Metro area counties and areas W and S through Tuesday, an additional short- duration headline may be necessary for surrounding areas to the N/NE/E.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
The current SPC Day 2 and 3 Marginal Risks over portions of the area feel appropriate.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:52 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.
From the 2:03 p.m. discussion
From the NWS discussion issued 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters call Wednesday's heat and storms uncertain because they depend on where the front and Tuesday night's storms end up. The forecaster puts the chance of extending heat alerts into Wednesday at around 50-60%.
While the entire forecast area will see highs in the midNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
to upper 90s TuesdayNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
spreading back east to encompass most of the forecast area by TuesdayNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
our northeastern zones may lag onNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
moisture and thus heat index values don't look as high as areasNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Speaking of fronts, a fairly robust front will be moving into the region late Tuesday afternoon and evening and slowly move south through the overnight hours.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
But the front will provide a focus for convective development, most likely in the 00Z [7 PM CDT] to 03Z [10 PM CDT] time frame in our far northern/ northwestern zones.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
- Dangerous heat will continue Tuesday for most locations, and potentially into Wednesday for areas south of the Missouri River.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
And again on Wednesday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
With the latest suite of guidance, the most probable area for renewed convection looks to be in our southern zones.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
That cold front will finally bring an end to the extreme heat that has plagued the area for nearly two weeks.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
High temperatures by Thursday should be closer to seasonal normals, which now are in the lower 80s to near 80 by the end of the week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Dewpoints are also expected to fall into the middle 60s for most Thursday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Temperatures rebound some for the weekend but we should still see highs in the middle 80s through the end of the forecast.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
whether the areas I mentioned are extended, I'd put it aroundNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
I'd put it around 50-60%. So there is a fair amount of uncertainty as a result of the front and potential for new convection along it.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Then for Wednesday afternoon, the forecast is dependent on where that front or any outflow boundaries reside.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
An Extreme Heat Warning (dangerous heat) runs until 8 PM CDT Tuesday for the Kansas City Metro and nearby counties. A Heat Advisory (hazardous heat) covers surrounding Missouri counties north, northeast and east, plus one Kansas zone, noon to 8 PM CDT Tuesday.
Dangerous heat may continue into Wednesday south of the Missouri River. Forecasters held off extending heat alerts for now; the forecaster puts the chance of extending them at around 50-60%.
Strong to severe storms are possible. The first storms could bring downburst winds and large hail; later, as the front moves south overnight, the main threat should be wind.
Strong to severe storms are possible again Wednesday afternoon, most likely in southern areas. Winds higher up that help organize storms may be stronger than on Tuesday.
MO...Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT Tuesday for MOZ028-029-037- 043-053.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
- Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect through 8 PM Tuesday for Kansas City Metro and immediately surrounding counties.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:05 a.m. Mon Sep 7
heat advisory to the east of the ongoing heat warning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for MOZ001>005- 011>015-020>023-030>032-038>040-044>046-054.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for KSZ102.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Given the current headline orientation, Excessive Heat Warning for the KC Metro area counties and areas W and S through Tuesday, an additional short- duration headline may be necessary for surrounding areas to the N/NE/E.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:20 p.m. Mon Sep 7
- Dangerous heat will continue Tuesday for most locations, and potentially into Wednesday for areas south of the Missouri River.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
decided to hold off given the uncertainty with the convection and potential effects on temperatures.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
I'd put it around 50-60%. So there is a fair amount of uncertainty as a result of the front and potential for new convection along it.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
- Strong to severe storms are possible Tuesday afternoon into the overnight hours.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Initial development will pose a risk for downburst winds and large hail.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
But this should trend to mainly a wind hazard with time as front slides southward through the overnight hours.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
And again on Wednesday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
With the latest suite of guidance, the most probable area for renewed convection looks to be in our southern zones.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Shear may also be stronger than Tuesday as the mid/upper level jet has shifted southward.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
There is potential that a portion of these headlines will need to be extended into Wednesday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Right now, the most likely area that may need to be extend would be along and south of the Missouri River.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
I'd put it around 50-60%. So there is a fair amount of uncertainty as a result of the front and potential for new convection along it.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
dependent on how convection from Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning evolves and if any new convection develops Wednesday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Then for Wednesday afternoon, the forecast is dependent on where that front or any outflow boundaries reside.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
heat advisory to the east of the ongoing heat warning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for MOZ001>005- 011>015-020>023-030>032-038>040-044>046-054.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for KSZ102.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
- Additional short-duration heat headlines may be necessary Tuesday as renewed heat briefly surges back across Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:05 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Given the current headline orientation, Excessive Heat Warning for the KC Metro area counties and areas W and S through Tuesday, an additional short- duration headline may be necessary for surrounding areas to the N/NE/E.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:20 p.m. Mon Sep 7
- Strong to severe storms are possible Tuesday afternoon into the overnight hours.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
- Shower and thunderstorm chances return to the area Wednesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:05 a.m. Mon Sep 7
Right now, the most likely area that may need to be extend would be along and south of the Missouri River.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
I'd put it around 50-60%. So there is a fair amount of uncertainty as a result of the front and potential for new convection along it.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
This too keeps the notion of a possible heat headline in play Wednesday for southern areas where these wide spreads include the potential for upper 90s to 100 and heat index values that would at least approach Advisory criteria.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:20 p.m. Mon Sep 7
While the entire forecast area will see highs in the midNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
to upper 90s TuesdayNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Tuesday likely sees highs back to the mid 90s to 100 across the area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:20 p.m. Mon Sep 7
At this point, those chances appear to be in the Friday/Saturday and Monday/Tuesday time frames as deterministic and ensemble guidance depict shortwave troughs sliding through.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:20 p.m. Mon Sep 7
High temperatures by Thursday should be closer to seasonal normals, which now are in the lower 80s to near 80 by the end of the week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:03 p.m. Mon Sep 7
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.