- Low chances (10-15%) for drizzle tonight into tomorrow morning.

in the low/mid 40s and high 30s

drizzle will remain minimal

will subside with the progression of the trough further eastward

As mid-level ridging and surface high pressure settles over the region, temperatures will continue to remain cooler across the forecast area, with high temperatures in the low 50s/upper 40s during the daytime tomorrow.

Residual low cloud cover could serve to keep temperatures cooler than forecast during the daytime, with further reinforcement of cold air from north/northwesterly winds through the vertical profile prompting greater CAA.

As of now, guidance still favors temperatures falling at/below frost criteria areawide, with more focused chances for below freezing temperatures generally east of US- 63 (50-70%).

- Continued chances (50-75%) for below freezing temperatures overnight Friday into Saturday morning, generally east of US-63.

Otherwise, with cooler temperatures and light winds Friday night into Saturday morning, conditions remain favorable for the development of frost/freeze across the forecast area.

- Warmer, dry forecast through the weekend into the early half of next week.

Surface high pressure sliding off towards the east will shift winds out of the south/southwest in the low levels, and clear skies will help contribute to a warm up of temperatures back into the 60s by the start of next week, with lows warming back into the 40s.

The atmospheric flow remains quasi-zonal through the early half of next week, before a mid-level ridge begins to amplify across the western half of the CONUS and a trough axis digs down from the northern Plains by Wednesday.

Aside from this shift in the synoptic pattern, the remainder of the forecast looks to remain warm and dry.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Otherwise, with cooler temperatures and light winds Friday night into Saturday morning, conditions remain favorable for the development of frost/freeze across the forecast area.

- Continued chances (50-75%) for below freezing temperatures overnight Friday into Saturday morning, generally east of US-63.

The persistence of this cloud cover tomorrow evening into Saturday morning could dictate how low temperatures are able to fall, which has some impact on the potential for frost/freeze.

However, with greater cloud cover, efficient radiational cooling will be inhibited, which would keep overnight lows higher than forecast.

Residual low cloud cover could serve to keep temperatures cooler than forecast during the daytime, with further reinforcement of cold air from north/northwesterly winds through the vertical profile prompting greater CAA.

As of now, guidance still favors temperatures falling at/below frost criteria areawide, with more focused chances for below freezing temperatures generally east of US- 63 (50-70%).

- Continued chances (50-75%) for below freezing temperatures overnight Friday into Saturday morning, generally east of US-63.

However, with greater cloud cover, efficient radiational cooling will be inhibited, which would keep overnight lows higher than forecast.

Therefore the current forecast has lows in the upper 20s for north/central MO and low 30s for more urban areas.

Otherwise, with cooler temperatures and light winds Friday night into Saturday morning, conditions remain favorable for the development of frost/freeze across the forecast area.

Based on collaboration with neighboring offices and the warm fall that we have had, we will likely issue a freeze warning for areas below 32 degrees and a frost advisory for the remaining areas as we continue to monitor forecast trends.

- Continued chances (50-75%) for below freezing temperatures overnight Friday into Saturday morning, generally east of US-63.

As of now, guidance still favors temperatures falling at/below frost criteria areawide, with more focused chances for below freezing temperatures generally east of US- 63 (50-70%).

- Patchy drizzle this morning into this afternoon.

potentially into this evening as it tapers off from NE to SW

highs in the low to mid 50s

clouds are going to stick around for most of today and tonight

Current guidance keep clouds around for areas west of highway 65, which will limit radiational cooling and keep lows at or above 32 degrees.

Clouds are more likely to dissipate east of 65 allowing for more efficient radiational cooling and a 60- 90% chance of dropping below freezing.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

- Warmer and drier conditions return late this weekend into early next week.

This will drive highs back into the mid to upper 60s and lows into the mid to upper 40s and conditions should remain dry for the beginning of the work week.

However, how low temperatures drop will depend on how far low level clouds retreat overnight.

potentially into this evening

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

Therefore, we have issued a freeze warning for counties along and east of highway 65 and a frost advisory west of 65.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

MO...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ001>005-011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053- 054.

KS...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for KSZ025-057-060-102>105.

However, how low temperatures drop will depend on how far low level clouds retreat overnight.

Current guidance keep clouds around for areas west of highway 65, which will limit radiational cooling and keep lows at or above 32 degrees.

Clouds are more likely to dissipate east of 65 allowing for more efficient radiational cooling and a 60- 90% chance of dropping below freezing.

Winds at the surface will also be weak or non-existent due to the weak pressure gradient across the forecast area, which will make it difficult for that saturated layer to mix out.

potentially into this evening

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

MO...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ001>005-011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053- 054.

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...None. KS...None.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

- Continued chances (50-75%) for below freezing temperatures overnight Friday into Saturday morning, generally east of US-63.

As of now, guidance still favors temperatures falling at/below frost criteria areawide, with more focused chances for below freezing temperatures generally east of US- 63 (50-70%).

- Patchy drizzle this morning into this afternoon.

potentially into this evening

- Low chances (10-15%) for drizzle tonight into tomorrow morning.

highs in the low to mid 50s

As mid-level ridging and surface high pressure settles over the region, temperatures will continue to remain cooler across the forecast area, with high temperatures in the low 50s/upper 40s during the daytime tomorrow.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 0501 AM CST Thu Nov 05 2026

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

- Continued chances (50-75%) for below freezing temperatures overnight Friday into Saturday morning, generally east of US-63.

As of now, guidance still favors temperatures falling at/below frost criteria areawide, with more focused chances for below freezing temperatures generally east of US- 63 (50-70%).

allow clear skies for areas generally east of US-65 going into the

out further to the west and south overnight.

radiational cooling will contribute to temperatures falling at/below

cover, temperatures will trend slightly warmer than freezing

Surface high pressure will continue sliding off towards the southeast through the day on Saturday, with temperatures beginning to warm under weak WAA in the low levels to the high 60s/low 70s by early next week.

Weak ascent in the mid/upper levels could contribute to lingering cloud cover during the day Saturday, but otherwise the synoptic pattern becomes relatively benign under west/northwest flow in the upper levels with quasi-zonal flow, keeping the forecast warm and dry for the early week.

- Warm, dry forecast ahead through early next week.

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

However, with the passage of the trough, winds shifting out of the north will introduce cooler, drier air by the end of the forecast period, cooling temperatures down to the low 60s/upper 50s.

cloud cover still remains the focus for any

deviations in the temperature forecast overnight

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

MO...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ001>005-011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053- 054.

KS...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for KSZ025-057-060-102>105.

Therefore, we have issued a freeze warning for counties along and east of highway 65 and a frost advisory west of 65.

- Frost/Freeze Headlines beginning tonight through tomorrow morning, with temperatures falling at/below freezing for areas east of US-65.

For areas where skies remain clear overnight and winds remain light/calm, enhanced radiational cooling will contribute to temperatures falling at/below freezing overnight.

for areas that remain under dense cloud

cover, temperatures will trend slightly warmer than freezing

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

Surface high pressure will continue sliding off towards the southeast through the day on Saturday, with temperatures beginning to warm under weak WAA in the low levels to the high 60s/low 70s by early next week.

- Warm, dry forecast ahead through early next week.

This will drive highs back into the mid to upper 60s and lows into the mid to upper 40s and conditions should remain dry for the beginning of the work week.

Current frost/freeze headlines still reflect general expectations for temperature trends across the area

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

However, with the passage of the trough, winds shifting out of the north will introduce cooler, drier air by the end of the forecast period, cooling temperatures down to the low 60s/upper 50s.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

Therefore, we have issued a freeze warning for counties along and east of highway 65 and a frost advisory west of 65.

allow clear skies for areas generally east of US-65 going into the

- Frost/Freeze Headlines beginning tonight through tomorrow morning, with temperatures falling at/below freezing for areas east of US-65.

high pressure, which will inhibit the ability of low clouds to mix

out further to the west and south overnight.

cover, temperatures will trend slightly warmer than freezing

Weak ascent in the mid/upper levels could contribute to lingering cloud cover during the day Saturday, but otherwise the synoptic pattern becomes relatively benign under west/northwest flow in the upper levels with quasi-zonal flow, keeping the forecast warm and dry for the early week.

Surface high pressure will continue sliding off towards the southeast through the day on Saturday, with temperatures beginning to warm under weak WAA in the low levels to the high 60s/low 70s by early next week.

- Warm, dry forecast ahead through early next week.

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

However, with the passage of the trough, winds shifting out of the north will introduce cooler, drier air by the end of the forecast period, cooling temperatures down to the low 60s/upper 50s.

headlines still reflect general expectations for temperature trends

across the area, but cloud cover still remains the focus for any

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

Therefore, we have issued a freeze warning for counties along and east of highway 65 and a frost advisory west of 65.

- Frost/Freeze Headlines beginning tonight through tomorrow morning, with temperatures falling at/below freezing for areas east of US-65.

MO...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ001>005-011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053- 054.

KS...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for KSZ025-057-060-102>105.

skies remain clear overnight and winds remain light/calm, enhanced

radiational cooling will contribute to temperatures falling at/below

cover, temperatures will trend slightly warmer than freezing

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

Surface high pressure will continue sliding off towards the southeast through the day on Saturday, with temperatures beginning to warm under weak WAA in the low levels to the high 60s/low 70s by early next week.

- Warm, dry forecast ahead through early next week.

This will drive highs back into the mid to upper 60s and lows into the mid to upper 40s and conditions should remain dry for the beginning of the work week.

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

However, with the passage of the trough, winds shifting out of the north will introduce cooler, drier air by the end of the forecast period, cooling temperatures down to the low 60s/upper 50s.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

Therefore, we have issued a freeze warning for counties along and east of highway 65 and a frost advisory west of 65.

allow clear skies for areas generally east of US-65 going into the evening

- Frost/Freeze Headlines beginning tonight through tomorrow morning, with temperatures falling at/below freezing for areas east of US-65.

inhibit the ability of low clouds to mix out further to the west and south overnight

for areas that remain under dense cloud cover, temperatures will trend slightly warmer than freezing overnight.

Surface high pressure will continue sliding off towards the southeast through the day on Saturday, with temperatures beginning to warm under weak WAA in the low levels to the high 60s/low 70s by early next week.

Weak ascent in the mid/upper levels could contribute to lingering cloud cover during the day Saturday, but otherwise the synoptic pattern becomes relatively benign under west/northwest flow in the upper levels with quasi-zonal flow, keeping the forecast warm and dry for the early week.

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

However, with the passage of the trough, winds shifting out of the north will introduce cooler, drier air by the end of the forecast period, cooling temperatures down to the low 60s/upper 50s.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

cloud cover still remains the focus for any deviations in the temperature forecast overnight

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017- 023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ001>005-011>014- 020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054.

KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Saturday for KSZ025-057-060- 102>105.

For areas where skies remain clear overnight and winds remain light/calm

temperatures falling at/below freezing overnight

for areas that remain under dense cloud cover, temperatures will trend slightly warmer than freezing

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017- 023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ001>005-011>014- 020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

MO...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ001>005-011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053- 054.

Weak ascent in the mid/upper levels could contribute to lingering cloud cover during the day Saturday, but otherwise the synoptic pattern becomes relatively benign under west/northwest flow in the upper levels with quasi-zonal flow, keeping the forecast warm and dry for the early week.

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

- Frost/Freeze Headlines beginning tonight through tomorrow morning, with temperatures falling at/below freezing for areas east of US-65.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.