allow clear skies for areas generally east of US-65 going into the evening

- Frost/Freeze Headlines beginning tonight through tomorrow morning, with temperatures falling at/below freezing for areas east of US-65.

inhibit the ability of low clouds to mix out further to the west and south overnight

for areas that remain under dense cloud cover, temperatures will trend slightly warmer than freezing overnight.

Surface high pressure will continue sliding off towards the southeast through the day on Saturday, with temperatures beginning to warm under weak WAA in the low levels to the high 60s/low 70s by early next week.

Weak ascent in the mid/upper levels could contribute to lingering cloud cover during the day Saturday, but otherwise the synoptic pattern becomes relatively benign under west/northwest flow in the upper levels with quasi-zonal flow, keeping the forecast warm and dry for the early week.

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

However, with the passage of the trough, winds shifting out of the north will introduce cooler, drier air by the end of the forecast period, cooling temperatures down to the low 60s/upper 50s.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

cloud cover still remains the focus for any deviations in the temperature forecast overnight

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017- 023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ001>005-011>014- 020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054.

KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Saturday for KSZ025-057-060- 102>105.

For areas where skies remain clear overnight and winds remain light/calm

temperatures falling at/below freezing overnight

for areas that remain under dense cloud cover, temperatures will trend slightly warmer than freezing

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017- 023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ001>005-011>014- 020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054.

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ006>008-015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

MO...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for MOZ001>005-011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053- 054.

Weak ascent in the mid/upper levels could contribute to lingering cloud cover during the day Saturday, but otherwise the synoptic pattern becomes relatively benign under west/northwest flow in the upper levels with quasi-zonal flow, keeping the forecast warm and dry for the early week.

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

- Frost/Freeze Headlines beginning tonight through tomorrow morning, with temperatures falling at/below freezing for areas east of US-65.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ006>008- 015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ001>005- 011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

- Frost/Freeze Headlines this morning, with coolest conditions east of US-65 where clear skies have developed.

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

stratus across eastern KS back into the region today.

cloud cover and weak flow will keep temperatures cool once again

have lowered forecast highs into the low and mid 50s.

Low clouds are are expected to clear the region tonight; however, the southwest flow will remain ahead of a weak boundary approaching from the north.

With dry airmass, expect temperatures to fall back into the mid 30s across central into eastern Missouri leading to another frosty night.

Expect warmer conditions on Sunday as 925 hpa temperatures warm 8-10 C over Saturday's values.

With just high clouds across the region, should be a fairly pleasant fall day.

- Mild and dry conditions expected the first half of the upcoming week.

Conditions are expected to remain dry, but cooler conditions are expected Thursday-Satuday.

While the precipitation with this system looks to remain east of the area, cooler temperatures are expected Thursday into next weekend are expected with north-northwesterly flow.

Temperatures moderate towards seasonal norms next weekend as trough builds toward the east coast, but with the developing blocking pattern, system may not be in a hurry to move east.

Models are hinting at the potential for patchy fog developing across northern Missouri, but increasing high clouds building south may limit the radiative potential, so for now, have left the mention out of the forecast.

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ006>008- 015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ001>005- 011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054.

- 60-90% chance for below freezing temps east of HWY-65, freeze warning issued for counties along and east of 65.

- Frost/Freeze Headlines this morning, with coolest conditions east of US-65 where clear skies have developed.

With dry airmass, expect temperatures to fall back into the mid 30s across central into eastern Missouri leading to another frosty night.

Models are hinting at the potential for patchy fog developing across northern Missouri, but increasing high clouds building south may limit the radiative potential, so for now, have left the mention out of the forecast.

Temperatures moderate towards seasonal norms next weekend as trough builds toward the east coast, but with the developing blocking pattern, system may not be in a hurry to move east.

have lowered forecast highs into the low and mid 50s.

stratus across eastern KS back into the region today.

Surface high pressure will continue sliding off towards the southeast through the day on Saturday, with temperatures beginning to warm under weak WAA in the low levels to the high 60s/low 70s by early next week.

Weak ascent in the mid/upper levels could contribute to lingering cloud cover during the day Saturday, but otherwise the synoptic pattern becomes relatively benign under west/northwest flow in the upper levels with quasi-zonal flow, keeping the forecast warm and dry for the early week.

With dry airmass, expect temperatures to fall back into the mid 30s across central into eastern Missouri leading to another frosty night.

While the precipitation with this system looks to remain east of the area, cooler temperatures are expected Thursday into next weekend are expected with north-northwesterly flow.

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

While the precipitation with this system looks to remain east of the area, cooler temperatures are expected Thursday into next weekend are expected with north-northwesterly flow.

Temperatures moderate towards seasonal norms next weekend as trough builds toward the east coast, but with the developing blocking pattern, system may not be in a hurry to move east.

Surface high pressure will continue sliding off towards the southeast through the day on Saturday, with temperatures beginning to warm under weak WAA in the low levels to the high 60s/low 70s by early next week.

However, with the passage of the trough, winds shifting out of the north will introduce cooler, drier air by the end of the forecast period, cooling temperatures down to the low 60s/upper 50s.

- Mild and dry conditions expected the first half of the upcoming week.

Conditions are expected to remain dry, but cooler conditions are expected Thursday-Satuday.

- Frost/Freeze Headlines this morning, with coolest conditions east of US-65 where clear skies have developed.

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ006>008- 015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ001>005- 011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054.

KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for KSZ025-057-060- 102>105.

stratus across eastern KS back into the region today.

The stubborn cloud cover and weak flow will keep temperatures cool once again today

have lowered forecast highs into the low and mid 50s.

Low clouds are are expected to clear the region tonight; however, the southwest flow will remain ahead of a weak boundary approaching from the north.

With dry airmass, expect temperatures to fall back into the mid 30s across central into eastern Missouri leading to another frosty night.

Expect warmer conditions on Sunday as 925 hpa temperatures warm 8-10 C over Saturday's values.

With just high clouds across the region, should be a fairly pleasant fall day.

- Mild and dry conditions expected the first half of the upcoming week.

Conditions are expected to remain dry, but cooler conditions are expected Thursday-Satuday.

While the precipitation with this system looks to remain east of the area, cooler temperatures are expected Thursday into next weekend are expected with north-northwesterly flow.

Temperatures moderate towards seasonal norms next weekend as trough builds toward the east coast, but with the developing blocking pattern, system may not be in a hurry to move east.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Models are hinting at the potential for patchy fog developing across northern Missouri, but increasing high clouds building south may limit the radiative potential, so for now, have left the mention out of the forecast.

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ006>008- 015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ001>005- 011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054.

KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for KSZ025-057-060- 102>105.

- Frost/Freeze Headlines this morning, with coolest conditions east of US-65 where clear skies have developed.

With dry airmass, expect temperatures to fall back into the mid 30s across central into eastern Missouri leading to another frosty night.

Models are hinting at the potential for patchy fog developing across northern Missouri, but increasing high clouds building south may limit the radiative potential, so for now, have left the mention out of the forecast.

Temperatures moderate towards seasonal norms next weekend as trough builds toward the east coast, but with the developing blocking pattern, system may not be in a hurry to move east.

have lowered forecast highs into the low and mid 50s.

stratus across eastern KS back into the region today.

Weak ascent in the mid/upper levels could contribute to lingering cloud cover during the day Saturday, but otherwise the synoptic pattern becomes relatively benign under west/northwest flow in the upper levels with quasi-zonal flow, keeping the forecast warm and dry for the early week.

While the precipitation with this system looks to remain east of the area, cooler temperatures are expected Thursday into next weekend are expected with north-northwesterly flow.

Synoptic guidance continues to indicate the passage of a mid-level trough to the northeast as mid-level ridging builds over the western CONUS by midweek next week, but some disagreement remains on precipitation placement/trough passage, leaving some uncertainty on forecast details around that timeframe.

Conditions are expected to remain dry, but cooler conditions are expected Thursday-Satuday.

Temperatures moderate towards seasonal norms next weekend as trough builds toward the east coast, but with the developing blocking pattern, system may not be in a hurry to move east.

This will bring the stratus across eastern KS back into the region today.

The stubborn cloud cover and weak flow will keep temperatures cool once again today

have lowered forecast highs into the low and mid 50s

Low clouds are are expected to clear the region tonight; however, the southwest flow will remain ahead of a weak boundary approaching from the north.

With dry airmass, expect temperatures to fall back into the mid 30s across central into eastern Missouri leading to another frosty night.

Expect warmer conditions on Sunday as 925 hpa temperatures warm 8-10 C over Saturday's values.

With just high clouds across the region, should be a fairly pleasant fall day.

- Mild and dry conditions expected the first half of the upcoming week.

Conditions are expected to remain dry, but cooler conditions are expected Thursday-Satuday.

While the precipitation with this system looks to remain east of the area, cooler temperatures are expected Thursday into next weekend are expected with north-northwesterly flow.

Temperatures moderate towards seasonal norms next weekend as trough builds toward the east coast, but with the developing blocking pattern, system may not be in a hurry to move east.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Models are hinting at the potential for patchy fog developing across northern Missouri, but increasing high clouds building south may limit the radiative potential, so for now, have left the mention out of the forecast.

With dry airmass, expect temperatures to fall back into the mid 30s across central into eastern Missouri leading to another frosty night.

Models are hinting at the potential for patchy fog developing across northern Missouri, but increasing high clouds building south may limit the radiative potential, so for now, have left the mention out of the forecast.

Temperatures moderate towards seasonal norms next weekend as trough builds toward the east coast, but with the developing blocking pattern, system may not be in a hurry to move east.

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... [NEW in this discussion] MO...None. KS...None.

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ001>005- 011>014-020>022-028>030-037-038-043-044-053-054.

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ006>008- 015>017-023>025-031>033-039-040-045-046.

KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for KSZ025-057-060- 102>105.

- Frost/Freeze Headlines this morning, with coolest conditions east of US-65 where clear skies have developed.

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... [NEW in this discussion] MO...None. KS...None.

Conditions are expected to remain dry, but cooler conditions are expected Thursday-Satuday.

While the precipitation with this system looks to remain east of the area, cooler temperatures are expected Thursday into next weekend are expected with north-northwesterly flow.

Temperatures moderate towards seasonal norms next weekend as trough builds toward the east coast, but with the developing blocking pattern, system may not be in a hurry to move east.

Clear skies and efficient radiational cooling may allow lows to dip into the lower 30s for areas south of Interstate 70 late tonight and early Sunday, leading to the potential for Frost Conditions.

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Sunday for MOZ040-044>046-053- 054.

Surface anticyclone will keep conditions mild for the next few days

- Mostly Dry Through Middle of Week

which will push temperatures back into the 60s to start the next work week.

- Next Rain Chances Wednesday into Thursday

For right now, slight chance POPs will be focused primarily south of Interstate 70 through the middle of this week.

So while a surface cyclone is expected to develop with stronger dCVA, a lot of the forcing is either too far south or too far northeast of the forecast, which would keep conditions mostly dry except for our southeastern zones.

Toward the end of the work week, northwesterly flow will bring CAA, sending temperatures back in the mid 50s for highs.

may allow lows to dip into the lower 30s

What remains uncertain at this point, is if these two trough axes will phase or not.

- Frost Advisory South of Interstate 70 Sunday Morning

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Sunday for MOZ040-044>046-053- 054.

leading to the potential for Frost Conditions.

If the wave over the Intermountain West slows down, we may see more middle and upper-level support that would bring rain showers to central and eastern Missouri.

Current guidance suggests that these two waves do not phase until after they are further east of our forecast area.

So while a surface cyclone is expected to develop with stronger dCVA, a lot of the forcing is either too far south or too far northeast of the forecast, which would keep conditions mostly dry except for our southeastern zones.

Conditions are expected to remain dry, but cooler conditions are expected Thursday-Satuday.

- Next Rain Chances Wednesday into Thursday