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Thursday, November 12
From the NWS discussion issued 2:29 a.m. and the Blue Springs forecast updated 7:52 a.m. The 5:30 a.m. update changed only the aviation section. Checked against the NWS text before it was shown (how).
NWS forecast for Blue Springs, updated 7:52 a.m. Precip.: the chance of rain or snow.
6 to 10 days out · Nov 17–21
Temperature: 60% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 50% chance of above normal
8 to 14 days out · Nov 19–25
Temperature: 40% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 50% chance of above normal
Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Blue Springs: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.
The forecast
How sure forecasters are
Forecasters give a 50-90% chance of temperatures below 25 degrees Saturday morning and say the weekend will likely stay dry. Rain late next week is only a possibility. The hazardous weather outlook calls the chance of widespread hazardous weather low.
- Much cooler conditions expected today through this weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
arctic air is anticipated to arrive this morningNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
cooling temperatures aloft will only lead to a five to sevenNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
degree diurnal curve across northern Missouri, and closer to 10NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
degrees of warming across central Missouri today.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
development east of highwayNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
65 which is expected to rapidly dissipate with the loss ofNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
The clearing skies tonight will lead to the coolest night of the season thus far across the region with lows in the upper 20s in most locations.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
A light north breeze through the night will push wind chill values into the lower 20s, perhaps the upper teens in isolated locations.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
Canadian high pressure will continue to build into the region on Friday keeping temperatures below seasonal norms for this time of year.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
Clear skies and light winds Friday night into Saturday morning will once again lead to the coolest temperatures of the season, and a hard freeze region-wide (50-90% chance of temperatures less than 25 degrees F, greatest east of I-35).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
Shortwave building east from the west coast will bring a chance of rain to the southern plains on Sunday, but dry airmass in place will likely keep the region dry through the weekend and keep any precipitation chances south.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
- Temperatures returning at or slightly above seasonal norms next week (highs in the mid 50s, lows near freezing).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
Temperatures return closer to seasonal norms early next week with omega block developing across the central US keeping the region dry through the first half of the week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
West coast trough eventually weakens and lifts northeast, potentially creating a chance of light rain late next week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5 a.m.
What to watch
Right now: nothing. There are no watches, warnings or advisories for Blue Springs.
A hard freeze is expected region-wide, with a 50-90% chance of temperatures below 25 degrees F, most likely east of I-35. No watches, warnings or advisories are listed for Missouri or Kansas.
A light north breeze will make it feel like the lower 20s, perhaps the upper teens in isolated spots.
Hard freeze Saturday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
Clear skies and light winds Friday night into Saturday morning will once again lead to the coolest temperatures of the season, and a hard freeze region-wide (50-90% chance of temperatures less than 25 degrees F, greatest east of I-35).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
MO...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
KS...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
A light north breeze through the night will push wind chill values into the lower 20s, perhaps the upper teens in isolated locations.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
Uncertainty
Shortwave building east from the west coast will bring a chance of rain to the southern plains on Sunday, but dry airmass in place will likely keep the region dry through the weekend and keep any precipitation chances south.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
West coast trough eventually weakens and lifts northeast, potentially creating a chance of light rain late next week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
Since the last forecast
Comparing the NWS discussion issued 11:36 p.m. Wednesday with the one issued 2:29 a.m..
Hard freeze Saturday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
The clearing skies tonight will lead to the coolest night of the season thus far across the region with lows in the upper 20s in most locations.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
Shortwave building east from the west coast will bring a chance of rain to the southern plains on Sunday, but dry airmass in place will likely keep the region dry through the weekend and keep any precipitation chances south.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
The first hard freeze of the year is likely Friday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:36 p.m. Wednesday
The next chance for precipitation comes Sunday afternoon into Monday morning (20-30% along and south of the MO River) as a shortwave moves across the Central Plains.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:36 p.m. Wednesday
Read with care
The clearing skies tonight will lead to the coolest night of the season thus far across the region with lows in the upper 20s in most locations.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.
Clear skies and light winds Friday night into Saturday morning will once again lead to the coolest temperatures of the season, and a hard freeze region-wide (50-90% chance of temperatures less than 25 degrees F, greatest east of I-35).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:29 a.m.