- Multiple rounds of rainfall anticipated across NE KS and NW MO through tomorrow morning.

rainfall totals of 2-4" forecast for portions of northeastern

Kansas and NW Missouri.

chance for a few strong storms late this afternoon through this

This front is expected to continue to slowly sink

Storms are expected to continue through the overnight tonight fueled by a southwesterly 30-35kt LLJ nosing into the area.

The LLJ is progged to weaken tomorrow morning allowing showers to dissipate.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected with this feature as it lifts north with the best chances for storms (25-35%) along and north of Highway 36 corridor.

Highs tomorrow will range from the low to mid 90s south of the Missouri River, where the warm front will pass earlier in the day, to the mid 70s across northern Missouri where the warm front won't lift through until tomorrow night.

Thursday into Thursday night looks to remain mostly dry and warm with the war front north of the area.

Highs tomorrow will range from the low to mid 90s south of the Missouri River, where the warm front will pass earlier in the day, to the mid 70s across northern Missouri where the warm front won't lift through until tomorrow night. Thursday into Thursday night looks to remain mostly dry and warm with the war front north of the area. Highs will range from the mid 80s to mid 90s. Heat index values south of the Missouri River may approach 105 degrees with a heat advisory possibly being necessary.

Heat index values south of the Missouri River may approach 105 degrees with a heat advisory possibly being necessary.

The upper-level ridge will shift slightly back toward the south- central US, drying things out briefly Friday morning and lifting high temperatures into the 90s.

Highs will range from the mid 80s to mid 90s. Heat index values south of the Missouri River may approach 105 degrees with a heat advisory possibly being necessary. The upper-level ridge will shift slightly back toward the south- central US, drying things out briefly Friday morning and lifting high temperatures into the 90s. However, this will be short-lived, as an upper-level trough and surface cold front move into our region Friday night into Saturday, bringing rain along the front.

However, this will be short-lived, as an upper-level trough and surface cold front move into our region Friday night into Saturday, bringing rain along the front.

- Additional rounds of storms area expected this weekend which may lead to additional flooding.

This, on top of the rain we could see earlier in the week, may increase the risk of flooding, especially in NW MO.

By Monday, the cold front moves out and high pressure moves in bringing cooler and drier weather with highs in the 70s.

Heavy downpours are expected which may lead to flash flooding as well as river flooding.

What is the biggest concern however, is

Heavy downpours are expected which may lead to flash flooding as well as river flooding.

A Flood Watch is in effect for NW MO and NE KS (including the KC metro) from 1PM Tuesday through 1PM Wednesday.

particularly for areas of NE KS/NW MO that received 4-7" of rain yesterday morning.

chance for a few strong storms late this afternoon through this

evening that will be capable of damaging winds and large hail. The

is currently extending from Unionville to St Joseph early

There is the potential for some hazardous heat across central and southern MO and tomorrow and Thursday as heat index values approach 100F-105F.

Heat index values south of the Missouri River may approach 105 degrees with a heat advisory possibly being necessary.

- Additional rounds of storms area expected this weekend which may lead to additional flooding.

This, on top of the rain we could see earlier in the week, may increase the risk of flooding, especially in NW MO.

This, on top of the rain we could see earlier in the week, may increase the risk of flooding, especially in NW MO.

rainfall totals of 2-4" forecast for portions of northeastern

Kansas and NW Missouri.

QPF of 2-3 inches is anticipated across NW MO with locally higher amounts possible.

- Additional rounds of storms area expected this weekend which may lead to additional flooding.

This also looks to lift highs back toward the 90s as the end of the week approaches before a substantial wave moves through the area this weekend bringing additional precipitation chances.

evening that will be capable of damaging winds and large hail. The

The focus for these storms and the heavy rainfall will be a slow moving

is currently extending from Unionville to St Joseph early

Increased localized shear as the boundaries meet could also bring the potential from some hail or tornado, but chances remain minimal.

By Monday, the cold front moves out and high pressure moves in bringing cooler and drier weather with highs in the 70s.

Additional digging trough keep storm chances around through Monday evening before ridging dries us off early to mid next week.

evening that will be capable of damaging winds and large hail. The

winds and brief small hail.

Tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow morning the frontal boundary will lift back north across the CWA as a warm front.

- Wide range of temperatures anticipated NW MO and NE KS around 80 and central MO in the mid 90s.

Highs tomorrow will range from the low to mid 90s south of the Missouri River, where the warm front will pass earlier in the day, to the mid 70s across northern Missouri where the warm front won't lift through until tomorrow night.

- Multiple rounds of rainfall anticipated across NE KS and NW MO through tomorrow morning.

- Multiple rounds of rainfall anticipated across NE KS and NW MO through tomorrow morning. Heavy downpours are expected which may lead to flash flooding as well as river flooding.

- Multiple rounds of rainfall anticipated across NE KS and NW MO through tomorrow morning. Heavy downpours are expected which may lead to flash flooding as well as river flooding. A Flood Watch is in effect for NW MO and NE KS (including the KC metro) from 1PM Tuesday through 1PM Wednesday.

with rainfall totals of 2-4" forecast for portions of northeastern

Kansas and NW Missouri.

particularly for areas of NE KS/NW MO that received 4-7" of rain

Showers and thunderstorms are expected with this feature as it lifts north with the best chances for storms (25-35%) along and north of Highway 36 corridor.

Highs tomorrow will range from the low to mid 90s south of the Missouri River, where the warm front will pass earlier in the day, to the mid 70s across northern Missouri where the warm front won't lift through until tomorrow night.

Thursday into Thursday night looks to remain mostly dry and warm with the war front north of the area.

Highs will range from the mid 80s to mid 90s.

Heat index values south of the Missouri River may approach 105 degrees with a heat advisory possibly being necessary.

The upper-level ridge will shift slightly back toward the south- central US, drying things out briefly Friday morning and lifting high temperatures into the 90s.

However, this will be short-lived, as an upper-level trough and surface cold front move into our region Friday night into Saturday, bringing rain along the front.

- Additional rounds of storms area expected this weekend which may lead to additional flooding.

This, on top of the rain we could see earlier in the week, may increase the risk of flooding, especially in NW MO.

By Monday, the cold front moves out and high pressure moves in bringing cooler and drier weather with highs in the 70s.

A Flood Watch is in effect for NW MO and NE KS (including the KC metro) from 1PM Tuesday through 1PM Wednesday.

- Multiple rounds of rainfall anticipated across NE KS and NW MO through tomorrow morning. Heavy downpours are expected which may lead to flash flooding as well as river flooding. A Flood Watch is in effect for NW MO and NE KS (including the KC metro) from 1PM Tuesday through 1PM Wednesday.

There is the potential for some hazardous heat across central and southern MO and tomorrow and Thursday as heat index values approach 100F-105F.

Heat index values south of the Missouri River may approach 105 degrees with a heat advisory possibly being necessary.

- Additional rounds of storms area expected this weekend which may lead to additional flooding.

This, on top of the rain we could see earlier in the week, may increase the risk of flooding, especially in NW MO.

This, on top of the rain we could see earlier in the week, may increase the risk of flooding, especially in NW MO.

Heat index values south of the Missouri River may approach 105 degrees with a heat advisory possibly being necessary.

Issued at 231 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

Highs tomorrow will range from the low to mid 90s south of the Missouri River, where the warm front will pass earlier in the day, to the mid 70s across northern Missouri where the warm front won't lift through until tomorrow night.

- Wide range of temperatures anticipated NW MO and NE KS around 80 and central MO in the mid 90s.

- Showers and embedded thunderstorms continue through the morning hours.

Rain should exit the region by mid morning for those west of the I-35 corridor and early afternoon for those east.

- Warmer air lifts northward through the day.

Like Tuesday, a dichotomy of temperatures is expected with rain cooled areas (mainly NW MO) ranging from the mid 70s to mid 80s with low to upper 90s expected everywhere else.

Heat indicies south of the temperature boundary are expected to be around 100-105F.

The first of this starts Thursday morning as a brief wave of showers and storms looks to pass through far NW MO during the morning.

There remains some uncertainty in the track of the system as steering current from winds aloft remain somewhat variable, but overall consensus points to another opportunity for rain across the area Saturday through Monday.

It remains a bit far out to pinpoint fine details, but the broad scale dynamics show another setup for a slow moving synoptic cold front that struggles to proceed southeastward which could present another favorable setup for prolonged rainfall.

- The overall weather pattern from the past 2-3 days is expected to continue with the potential for another prolonged rain event over the weekend into next week.

Extended guidance shows flow opening up with systems becoming much more transitive mid to late next week.

Then the pattern looks to become a little more progressive.

slightly lower than expected rain/storm coverage through the overnight

MO...Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for MOZ001>006- 011>015-020>022-028-029-037.

KS...Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for KSZ025-102>105.

A Flood Watch is in effect for NW MO and NE KS (including the KC metro) from 1PM Tuesday through 1PM Wednesday.

More sparse coverage has overall lowered flooding concerns; however, isolated flooding remains possible from heavy downpours.

may result in localized flooding across the area

Heat indicies south of the temperature boundary are expected to be around 100-105F.

Who sees lower vs high temperatures will depend on how far north the boundary makes it through the day.

Right now, the forecast calls for the boundary to make it to the MO River Valley; however, there is a chance that the boundary could advance further north bringing hotter air further northward.

There remains some uncertainty in the track of the system as steering current from winds aloft remain somewhat variable, but overall consensus points to another opportunity for rain across the area Saturday through Monday.

More sparse coverage has overall lowered flooding concerns; however, isolated flooding remains possible from heavy downpours.

areas will see opportunities for water to drain before the next round moves in

Heavy downpours are expected which may lead to flash flooding as well as river flooding.

There remains some uncertainty in the track of the system as steering current from winds aloft remain somewhat variable, but overall consensus points to another opportunity for rain across the area Saturday through Monday.

By Monday, the cold front moves out and high pressure moves in bringing cooler and drier weather with highs in the 70s.

The first of this starts Thursday morning as a brief wave of showers and storms looks to pass through far NW MO during the morning.

Thursday into Thursday night looks to remain mostly dry and warm with the war front north of the area.

Heat index values south of the Missouri River may approach 105 degrees with a heat advisory possibly being necessary.

Expect highs underneath areas with lingering cloud cover to struggle to do much more than the upper 70s to low 80s

cooler north to warm to hot and humid as you work southward across the area

- Fog potential tonight into Thursday morning, mainly near and north of Highway 36

While the surface front may not fully lift out of Missouri and into Iowa, it should be enough to keep activity into Iowa.

Even if some activity clips the far northern portions of Missouri, the activity should be on the more progressive side with a notable lack of above surface boundary for storms to train along and migrating LLJ.

In general it will set up another day where Northern Missouri will feel drastically different than areas near and south of I-70.

Northern areas could also see a few showers or general thunder as weak isentropic lift continues as well, but in similar fashion to today should weaken as the day progresses.

- Seasonally hot and humid conditions for areas around/south of Missouri River and I-70 through Friday.

Including highs into the 90s and heat index values into the low 100s possible.

The waffling surface boundary/warm front will see another northward surge Friday as surface low develops and pushes off the Colorado Front Range.

By this point the Norther Plains surface high will have pushed eastward and may keep shower/storm chances ongoing for NE portions of the CWA.

This will also again potentially yield a dramatic difference in conditions across the CWA itself.

- Multiple rounds of showers and storms possible over the weekend.

that front will potentially stall out over our forecast area

bringing the potential for multiple rounds of rain Saturday and Sunday night.

- Cooler, more seasonable to seasonably cool temperatures begin to overspread the region later Sunday and into next week.

Highs falling into the 70s.

there is high confidence the cold front will move off to the SE on Monday

There is some uncertainty in just how far south it will be able to retreat.

- Fog potential tonight into Thursday morning, mainly near and north of Highway 36

Otherwise, potential for some fog in the vicinity of the surface front and northward given moist low levels and light to nil winds tonight and have added as much into the forecast.

- Seasonally hot and humid conditions for areas around/south of Missouri River and I-70 through Friday.

Including highs into the 90s and heat index values into the low 100s possible.

- Multiple rounds of showers and storms possible over the weekend.

that front will potentially stall out over our forecast area

bringing the potential for multiple rounds of rain Saturday and Sunday night.

Did briefly consider lining up with DMX/DVN a new Flood Watch for tonight, and while much of the area has seen plentiful/saturating rainfall with confidence increasing in the location, have opted against.

There is some uncertainty in just how far south it will be able to retreat.

Including highs into the 90s and heat index values into the low 100s possible.

The 850mb thermal ridge will remain overhead across the area, so the importance of the surface boundary ties to cloud cover and mixing depth potential.

Even if some activity clips the far northern portions of Missouri, the activity should be on the more progressive side with a notable lack of above surface boundary for storms to train along and migrating LLJ.

it will be fighting the upper-level ridge over the SE US

that front will potentially stall out over our forecast area

- Fog potential tonight into Thursday morning, mainly near and north of Highway 36

Otherwise, potential for some fog in the vicinity of the surface front and northward given moist low levels and light to nil winds tonight and have added as much into the forecast.

there is high confidence the cold front will move off to the SE on Monday

high temperatures in the 70s

- The overall weather pattern from the past 2-3 days is expected to continue with the potential for another prolonged rain event over the weekend into next week.

Initial forecasts suggested the ~90 deg F line to be around the east-west portions of the Missouri River.

more likely to be a tier of counties northward

Right now, the forecast calls for the boundary to make it to the MO River Valley; however, there is a chance that the boundary could advance further north bringing hotter air further northward.

bringing the potential for multiple rounds of rain Saturday and Sunday night.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 0501 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026

- Showers and embedded thunderstorms continue through the morning hours.

More sparse coverage has overall lowered flooding concerns; however, isolated flooding remains possible from heavy downpours.

Areas where it rains after sunrise range from the mid 70s to mid 80s while places south of the boundary reach the low to upper 90s with heat index values of 100-105F.