will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s across the area with

mostly cloudy skies and a few peeks of sun through the

induce some pockets of drizzle/light rain.

through the afternoon, gradually shifting east with time.

With the shortwave out of the area, drier mid-level air will advect into the area and skies will be able to clear through the day tomorrow.

Temperatures will remain in the low-to-mid 70s, with dew points in the upper 50s, creating a pleasant Fall day.

This pattern remains through the end of the week.

Several shortwaves are expected to move through the flow inducing showers, however, precipitation should remain to the north and west of the area through Thursday.

On Friday, a more vigorous shortwave is progged to move through the flow and shift the ridge to the east, allowing showers to move into the area from northwest to southeast through the day on Friday.

- Precipitation chances (30-50%) return to the forecast Friday through the weekend.

Several more impulses bring shower chances (30-50%) to the area through the weekend.

Instability looks to be minimal with these systems, so even as much as thunder may be hard to come by.

Several more impulses bring shower chances (30-50%) to the area through the weekend. Instability looks to be minimal with these systems, so even as much as thunder may be hard to come by. Long range deterministic and ensemble models are in fairly good agreement for mid-level ridging to build back into the Central CONUS by early next week. This would likely allow temperatures to climb back into the low-to-mid 80s.

This would likely allow temperatures to climb back into the low-to-mid 80s.

Long range deterministic and ensemble models are in fairly good agreement for mid-level ridging to build back into the Central CONUS by early next week.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Instability looks to be minimal with these systems, so even as much as thunder may be hard to come by.

Several shortwaves are expected to move through the flow inducing showers, however, precipitation should remain to the north and west of the area through Thursday.

On Friday, a more vigorous shortwave is progged to move through the flow and shift the ridge to the east, allowing showers to move into the area from northwest to southeast through the day on Friday.

- Precipitation Returns to the Forecast Late Thursday, Through Weekend

morning with about a 15-30% chance of rain Thursday night in NW

- Precipitation chances (30-50%) return to the forecast Friday through the weekend.

MO gradually increasing to a 50-60% chance Friday morning for NW

MO and 30-50% chance of rain for the rest of the CWA.

Instability looks to be minimal with these systems, so even as much as thunder may be hard to come by.

We could hear some rumbles of thunder with the rain on Saturday night with guidance showing weak instability on the western edge of our CWA but otherwise we shouldn't see any severe weather as deterministic guidance keeps the greatest instability outside of the CWA.

This would likely allow temperatures to climb back into the low-to-mid 80s.

We could potentially see some warmer temperatures this weekend and the beginning of next week with a 70-80% chance of highs above 85, especially south of I-70.

through the afternoon, gradually shifting east with time.

With the shortwave out of the area, drier mid-level air will advect into the area and skies will be able to clear through the day tomorrow.

- Fog Possible Tuesday Morning, Cloud Conditions Slowly Clear Up Through Afternoon

- Precipitation Returns to the Forecast Late Thursday, Through Weekend

Several shortwaves are expected to move through the flow inducing showers, however, precipitation should remain to the north and west of the area through Thursday.

Wednesday looks to be another nice fall day with highs in the 70s

starts to dry out leading to mostly clear skies

Dry conditions will stick around for at least one more day

temperatures should stay in the mid to upper 70s as clouds

build in over our area ahead of the rain in the Central Plains

By Thursday night into Friday morning the upper-level ridge begins to move east while the surface high over Quebec continues to move east increasing our chances for rain.

However, models keep the strong southerly flow off to our west on Friday so there is only about a 30-50% chance that areas north of I-70 will see rain with the best chances for rain staying NW.

By Saturday, the strong southerly flow shifts east into our CWA and the chance of rain increases throughout the day Saturday with areas west of I-35 seeing the best chance (60-70%) for rain and decreasing chances (15-30%) for areas south of a line from Kirksville to Butler.

This upper level setup coupled with the surface low sticking around to our west and the surface high to our NE keeping moist air advecting into our area we will potentially see rain sticking around through Sunday.

Models have little to no instability present in our CWA for the weekend so there is little concern for severe weather, and minimal chances for thunder.

Models start to bring ridging back into our area by Monday which would bring an end to the rain, however the blocking pattern at 500mb may stick around longer than models suggest which could keep rain around longer.

If the omega block does weaken by Monday, the 500mb ridge over the south central US will move into our area and could bring high temperatures back into the mid 80s with a 45-60% chance that our southern most counties could see highs above 90 degrees.

Models start to bring ridging back into our area by Monday which would bring an end to the rain, however the blocking pattern at 500mb may stick around longer than models suggest which could keep rain around longer.

If the omega block does weaken by Monday, the 500mb ridge over the south central US will move into our area and could bring high temperatures back into the mid 80s with a 45-60% chance that our southern most counties could see highs above 90 degrees.

-Precipitation chances (30-50%) return Friday but with better chances (50-70%) through the weekend.

By Saturday, the strong southerly flow shifts east into our CWA and the chance of rain increases throughout the day Saturday with areas west of I-35 seeing the best chance (60-70%) for rain and decreasing chances (15-30%) for areas south of a line from Kirksville to Butler.

Several more impulses bring shower chances (30-50%) to the area through the weekend.

If the omega block does weaken by Monday, the 500mb ridge over the south central US will move into our area and could bring high temperatures back into the mid 80s with a 45-60% chance that our southern most counties could see highs above 90 degrees.

This would likely allow temperatures to climb back into the low-to-mid 80s.

However, models keep the strong southerly flow off to our west on Friday so there is only about a 30-50% chance that areas north of I-70 will see rain with the best chances for rain staying NW.

Dry conditions will stick around for at least one more day

By Thursday night into Friday morning the upper-level ridge begins to move east while the surface high over Quebec continues to move east increasing our chances for rain.

Pleasant fall weather continues today with highs anticipated in the mid to upper 70s for most.

This manifests as clearing clouds and increasing sunshine.

Surface winds remain generally from the east maintaining the flow of cooler and drier air across the area keeping pleasant fall conditions around through Friday.

Highs remain around seasonal normals.

Chances of precipitation are expected starting Friday morning, with highest likelihood and amounts in our northwestern counties.

will cause a sharp temperature gradient over the area, with mid 80s to our south, and mid to upper 60s to our north.

indicate that heavy downpours will be possible

will move precipitation chances across the entire area throughout the whole day Saturday.

which will lead to a cloudy, rainy, and gloomy weekend.

and cloud cover are expected to diminish Sunday afternoon

through Sunday night as the system continues to progress.

As the shortwave moves out of the area Monday, the mid level ridge remains over the area.

There is still uncertainty about how high temperatures may get.

If the omega block holds onto its strength, temperatures will remain seasonable, as it would stifle warm air advection.

There is still uncertainty about how high temperatures may get. If the omega block holds onto its strength, temperatures will remain seasonable, as it would stifle warm air advection. On the other side, if the omega block weakens, this would allow a warmer air mass to move farther northward into our area, bringing temperatures into the mid 80s. Ensembles have been leaning toward the omega block breaking down and moving out of the region, making way for another disturbance from the Pacific coast.

Ensembles have been leaning toward the omega block breaking down and moving out of the region, making way for another disturbance from the Pacific coast.

This system would come through the area Tuesday, bringing increased chances of rain, and cooler temperatures.

heavy downpours will be possible

limit severe weather chances

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

If the omega block holds onto its strength, temperatures will remain seasonable, as it would stifle warm air advection.

On the other side, if the omega block weakens, this would allow a warmer air mass to move farther northward into our area, bringing temperatures into the mid 80s.

indicate that heavy downpours will be possible

limit severe weather chances

Models have little to no instability present in our CWA for the weekend so there is little concern for severe weather, and minimal chances for thunder.

and cloud cover are expected to diminish Sunday afternoon

through Sunday night as the system continues to progress.

This upper level setup coupled with the surface low sticking around to our west and the surface high to our NE keeping moist air advecting into our area we will potentially see rain sticking around through Sunday.

Models start to bring ridging back into our area by Monday which would bring an end to the rain, however the blocking pattern at 500mb may stick around longer than models suggest which could keep rain around longer.

On the other side, if the omega block weakens, this would allow a warmer air mass to move farther northward into our area, bringing temperatures into the mid 80s.

There is still uncertainty about how high temperatures may get. If the omega block holds onto its strength, temperatures will remain seasonable, as it would stifle warm air advection. On the other side, if the omega block weakens, this would allow a warmer air mass to move farther northward into our area, bringing temperatures into the mid 80s. Ensembles have been leaning toward the omega block breaking down and moving out of the region, making way for another disturbance from the Pacific coast.

If the omega block does weaken by Monday, the 500mb ridge over the south central US will move into our area and could bring high temperatures back into the mid 80s with a 45-60% chance that our southern most counties could see highs above 90 degrees.

-Precipitation chances (30-50%) return Friday but with better chances (50-70%) through the weekend.

80s to our south, and mid to upper 60s to our north.