Pleasant fall weather continues today with highs anticipated in the mid to upper 70s for most.

This manifests as clearing clouds and increasing sunshine.

Surface winds remain generally from the east maintaining the flow of cooler and drier air across the area keeping pleasant fall conditions around through Friday.

Highs remain around seasonal normals.

Chances of precipitation are expected starting Friday morning, with highest likelihood and amounts in our northwestern counties.

will cause a sharp temperature gradient over the area, with mid 80s to our south, and mid to upper 60s to our north.

indicate that heavy downpours will be possible

will move precipitation chances across the entire area throughout the whole day Saturday.

which will lead to a cloudy, rainy, and gloomy weekend.

and cloud cover are expected to diminish Sunday afternoon

through Sunday night as the system continues to progress.

As the shortwave moves out of the area Monday, the mid level ridge remains over the area.

There is still uncertainty about how high temperatures may get.

If the omega block holds onto its strength, temperatures will remain seasonable, as it would stifle warm air advection.

There is still uncertainty about how high temperatures may get. If the omega block holds onto its strength, temperatures will remain seasonable, as it would stifle warm air advection. On the other side, if the omega block weakens, this would allow a warmer air mass to move farther northward into our area, bringing temperatures into the mid 80s. Ensembles have been leaning toward the omega block breaking down and moving out of the region, making way for another disturbance from the Pacific coast.

Ensembles have been leaning toward the omega block breaking down and moving out of the region, making way for another disturbance from the Pacific coast.

This system would come through the area Tuesday, bringing increased chances of rain, and cooler temperatures.

heavy downpours will be possible

limit severe weather chances

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

If the omega block holds onto its strength, temperatures will remain seasonable, as it would stifle warm air advection.

On the other side, if the omega block weakens, this would allow a warmer air mass to move farther northward into our area, bringing temperatures into the mid 80s.

indicate that heavy downpours will be possible

limit severe weather chances

Models have little to no instability present in our CWA for the weekend so there is little concern for severe weather, and minimal chances for thunder.

and cloud cover are expected to diminish Sunday afternoon

through Sunday night as the system continues to progress.

This upper level setup coupled with the surface low sticking around to our west and the surface high to our NE keeping moist air advecting into our area we will potentially see rain sticking around through Sunday.

Models start to bring ridging back into our area by Monday which would bring an end to the rain, however the blocking pattern at 500mb may stick around longer than models suggest which could keep rain around longer.

On the other side, if the omega block weakens, this would allow a warmer air mass to move farther northward into our area, bringing temperatures into the mid 80s.

There is still uncertainty about how high temperatures may get. If the omega block holds onto its strength, temperatures will remain seasonable, as it would stifle warm air advection. On the other side, if the omega block weakens, this would allow a warmer air mass to move farther northward into our area, bringing temperatures into the mid 80s. Ensembles have been leaning toward the omega block breaking down and moving out of the region, making way for another disturbance from the Pacific coast.

If the omega block does weaken by Monday, the 500mb ridge over the south central US will move into our area and could bring high temperatures back into the mid 80s with a 45-60% chance that our southern most counties could see highs above 90 degrees.

-Precipitation chances (30-50%) return Friday but with better chances (50-70%) through the weekend.

80s to our south, and mid to upper 60s to our north.

- Cool and dry Thursday

will bring clouds back into our area throughout the day

will keep temperatures in the 70s today.

- Rain chances return Friday and into the weekend with the chance (20-30%) for isolated, non-severe thunderstorms Saturday along the KS/MO border

Over our area, isentropic ascent will trigger the initial lift needed for rain in our area, primarily in NW MO.

There are no major concerns for thunderstorms Friday morning because the low-level clouds and weak lapse rates will keep instability low.

500mb heights continue to fall Friday night into Saturday as the shortwave and deepening surface low progress east which will support better lift and better chances (70-90% north of I-70 and 50-70% south) for rain across the entire CWA with a 20-30% chance for isolated thunderstorms primarily along the KS/MO border north of I-70.

Rain will stick around for much of the weekend as another blocking pattern forms at 500mb as high pressure over the Great Lakes is sandwiched between a developing Nor'easter over the Mid-Atlantic and a deepening trough over the Pacific NW.

Southerly flow will continue to bring warmer air into our region and the 500mb ridge starts to build back into the area Sunday so rain chances will diminish throughout the day Sunday.

This could keep the ridge from progressing as far east, keeping rain chances around for a little longer and keeping us cooler.

If the ridge is able to progress into our area Monday we could see slightly warmer temperatures in the mid 80s.

We are also watching for another chance of rain in the middle of next week as models have the 500mb trough over the Pacific NW deepening and moving into the central US.The exact timing of this system however, will depend on how quickly the Nor'easter moves off of the NE Atlantic coast.

- Rain chances return Friday and into the weekend with the chance (20-30%) for isolated, non-severe thunderstorms Saturday along the KS/MO border

500mb heights continue to fall Friday night into Saturday as the shortwave and deepening surface low progress east which will support better lift and better chances (70-90% north of I-70 and 50-70% south) for rain across the entire CWA with a 20-30% chance for isolated thunderstorms primarily along the KS/MO border north of I-70.

However, this ridge will have to contend with the Nor'easter that sets up shop off the North Atlantic coast and tries to stick around early next week.

This could keep the ridge from progressing as far east, keeping rain chances around for a little longer and keeping us cooler.

If the ridge is able to progress into our area Monday we could see slightly warmer temperatures in the mid 80s.

We are also watching for another chance of rain in the middle of next week as models have the 500mb trough over the Pacific NW deepening and moving into the central US.The exact timing of this system however, will depend on how quickly the Nor'easter moves off of the NE Atlantic coast.

- Rain chances return Friday and into the weekend with the chance (20-30%) for isolated, non-severe thunderstorms Saturday along the KS/MO border

500mb heights continue to fall Friday night into Saturday as the shortwave and deepening surface low progress east which will support better lift and better chances (70-90% north of I-70 and 50-70% south) for rain across the entire CWA with a 20-30% chance for isolated thunderstorms primarily along the KS/MO border north of I-70.

persistent cloud cover significantly reduce instability, and

limit severe weather chances

heavy downpours will be possible

Southerly flow will continue to bring warmer air into our region and the 500mb ridge starts to build back into the area Sunday so rain chances will diminish throughout the day Sunday.

This could keep the ridge from progressing as far east, keeping rain chances around for a little longer and keeping us cooler.

and cloud cover are expected to diminish Sunday afternoon

through Sunday night as the system continues to progress.

We are also watching for another chance of rain in the middle of next week as models have the 500mb trough over the Pacific NW deepening and moving into the central US.The exact timing of this system however, will depend on how quickly the Nor'easter moves off of the NE Atlantic coast.

This system would come through the area Tuesday, bringing increased chances of rain, and cooler temperatures.

- Rain chances return Friday and into the weekend with the chance (20-30%) for isolated, non-severe thunderstorms Saturday along the KS/MO border

500mb heights continue to fall Friday night into Saturday as the shortwave and deepening surface low progress east which will support better lift and better chances (70-90% north of I-70 and 50-70% south) for rain across the entire CWA with a 20-30% chance for isolated thunderstorms primarily along the KS/MO border north of I-70.

-Precipitation chances (30-50%) return Friday but with better chances (50-70%) through the weekend.