Plain versions of the NWS discussions issued that day. wxexplained wasn't running yet: they were written later (Fri Nov 6) from the NWS text, the same way and with the same checks. This is not the current forecast. Today's forecast
Alerts
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping NWS alerts on November 6, 2026. See the NWS discussion below for the watches and warnings it listed.
4 versions of the page that day, oldest first.
From the discussion of 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2, current when the day began
From the NWS discussion issued 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2.
How sure forecasters were
The discussion doesn't say how confident forecasters are overall. Computer model groups put the chance of measurable rain under 10 percent, and fog is only a 'may', with dry air possibly keeping it from spreading.
Broad surface anticyclone behind the cold front has been keeping conditions clear across the forecast area today, along with drier and cooler conditions.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
- Mild Weather Conditions This WeekendNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
This will remain the trend through theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
temperatures will reach into the lower and mid 70s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
will be a bit cooler, with upper 40s to lower 50s possible.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
winds and strong radiational cooling may help promote some fogNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
development, but overall moisture may be to limited for it to becomeNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Fri Oct 2
A few short-wave trough axes will force the surface anticyclone eastward into the Great Lakes Region for the start of the work week, but most of the dCVA stays north of the area, and this is also where all the precipitation chances will remain, keeping our forecast area dry.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
- Mostly Dry Forecast Next 7 DaysNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
- Warmer Temperatures Next WeekNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
This will push a thermal ridge eastward, which will introduce a WAA regime through the middle of the next week that gradually take afternoon high temperatures back to the upper 70s and lower 80s, with perhaps mid 80s for areas well south of U.S.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
Through the middle of the next work week, ridge over the southwestern CONUS will amplify and increase dAVA into the Central CONUS, allowing another stronger surface anticyclone to develop. This will push a thermal ridge eastward, which will introduce a WAA regime through the middle of the next week that gradually take afternoon high temperatures back to the upper 70s and lower 80s, with perhaps mid 80s for areas well south of U.S. Hwy. 50.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
Perhaps a short-wave perturbation of some kind could generate light shower activity, but current ensemble suites keep probabilities for detectable precipitation at under 10 percent.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
Hwy. 50. Perhaps a short-wave perturbation of some kind could generate light shower activity, but current ensemble suites keep probabilities for detectable precipitation at under 10 percent. Therefore, will keep the forecast dry for the current 7-day period.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
Therefore, will keep the forecast dry for the current 7-day period.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
The NWS discussion didn't flag anything.
Perhaps a short-wave perturbation of some kind could generate light shower activity, but current ensemble suites keep probabilities for detectable precipitation at under 10 percent.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
winds and strong radiational cooling may help promote some fogNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
development, but overall moisture may be to limited for it to becomeNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Fri Oct 2
- Mild Weather Conditions This WeekendNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
temperatures will reach into the lower and mid 70s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
- Cooler, fall-like, temperatures expected this weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Fri Oct 2
another cold front south through the area with another push ofNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:02 p.m. Fri Oct 2
winds and strong radiational cooling may help promote some fogNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
development, but overall moisture may be to limited for it to becomeNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
Hwy. 50. Perhaps a short-wave perturbation of some kind could generate light shower activity, but current ensemble suites keep probabilities for detectable precipitation at under 10 percent. Therefore, will keep the forecast dry for the current 7-day period.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
Therefore, will keep the forecast dry for the current 7-day period.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
The one caveat, at this point, would be Wednesday, when a weak front moves into the area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:02 p.m. Fri Oct 2
Still, the probability of even seeing a hundredth of an inch is only around 5-10%.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:02 p.m. Fri Oct 2
- Mostly Dry Forecast Next 7 DaysNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
Therefore, will keep the forecast dry for the current 7-day period.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 12:53 p.m. Fri Oct 2
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.
From the 2:37 a.m. discussion
From the NWS discussion issued 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters give a greater than 95% chance of dry weather for the whole forecast, since there isn't enough moisture for rain.
resulting in a light easterly wind and dryNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
highs today will be similarNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
70s expected, which is very close to normal for this time ofNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
- Seasonable conditions this weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
will however, push another weak front south through the areaNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
Sunday, reinforcing the drier airmass over the region.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
Similar near-normal to slightly above-normal conditions are expected Sunday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
For next week, low-level flow turns southerly by Tuesday, as the surface high shifts into the eastern US.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
This southerly flow will help temperatures climb back above normal by TuesdayNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
back above normal by Tuesday with highs climbing to 10-15NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
degrees above normal values for the later half of next week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
- Above normal temperatures mid to late next week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
- Dry weather conditions are expected the next seven days.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
While several weak shortwaves will move across the middle of the country, there is a lack of moisture available for any precipitation to occur. As a result, the entire forecast looks dry with a greater than 95% of dry conditions. The only day when there is more than a 0-5% chance is Thursday night. A shortwave moves east, mainly north of the area, with some minor ascent noted along the northern edge of the low-level jet.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
For now, the atmosphere looks too dry to carry anything more than around a 5% chance of precipitation across northern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
As a result, the entire forecast looks dry with a greater than 95% of dry conditions.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
While several weak shortwaves will move across the middle of the country, there is a lack of moisture available for any precipitation to occur.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
The NWS discussion didn't flag anything.
A shortwave moves east, mainly north of the area, with some minor ascent noted along the northern edge of the low-level jet.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
For now, the atmosphere looks too dry to carry anything more than around a 5% chance of precipitation across northern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
- Dry weather conditions are expected the next seven days.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
- Mostly Dry Forecast Next 7 DaysNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:01 p.m. Fri Oct 2
winds and strong radiational cooling may help promote some fogNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:01 p.m. Fri Oct 2
development, but overall moisture may be to limited for it to becomeNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:01 p.m. Fri Oct 2
While several weak shortwaves will move across the middle of the country, there is a lack of moisture available for any precipitation to occur. As a result, the entire forecast looks dry with a greater than 95% of dry conditions. The only day when there is more than a 0-5% chance is Thursday night. A shortwave moves east, mainly north of the area, with some minor ascent noted along the northern edge of the low-level jet.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
For now, the atmosphere looks too dry to carry anything more than around a 5% chance of precipitation across northern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
Hwy. 50. Perhaps a short-wave perturbation of some kind could generate light shower activity, but current ensemble suites keep probabilities for detectable precipitation at under 10 percent. Therefore, will keep the forecast dry for the current 7-day period.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:01 p.m. Fri Oct 2
While several weak shortwaves will move across the middle of the country, there is a lack of moisture available for any precipitation to occur. As a result, the entire forecast looks dry with a greater than 95% of dry conditions. The only day when there is more than a 0-5% chance is Thursday night. A shortwave moves east, mainly north of the area, with some minor ascent noted along the northern edge of the low-level jet.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
For now, the atmosphere looks too dry to carry anything more than around a 5% chance of precipitation across northern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:37 a.m. Sat Oct 3
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.
From the 1:53 p.m. discussion
From the NWS discussion issued 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3.
How sure forecasters were
Forecast models keep the chance of measurable rain at 10 percent or less, so forecasters are keeping a dry forecast. The outlook says the chance of widespread hazardous weather is low.
remain cool and dry this afternoonNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
with highs in the low to mid-NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
weak cold front out of the Northern Plains through our area Sunday,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
reinforcing the dry air massNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
keeping highs in the 70s under more northerly flow.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
Breezy south to southwesterly winds will beNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
possible on Tuesday as the surface anticyclone exits eastwardNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
layer mixing during the afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
- Warmer By Middle of Work Week&&NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
pushing temperatures back into the upper 70s,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
with highs in lower 80s for points south of Interstate 70.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
probabilities for measurable precipitation at 10 percent or less,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
and therefore will maintain a dry forecast.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
plenty of opportunity for the elevated river levels to continue toNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
fall through this week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Sat Oct 3
The NWS discussion didn't flag anything.
mid-level kinematic action is still progged to remain will north ofNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
the area over the next 7 Days,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
Breezy south to southwesterly winds will beNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
possible on Tuesday as the surface anticyclone exits eastwardNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
southerly by Tuesday, as the surface high shifts into theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:21 p.m. Sat Oct 3
and therefore will maintain a dry forecast.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
The only day when there is more than a 0-5% chance is Thursday night.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:21 p.m. Sat Oct 3
For now, the atmosphere looks too dry to carry anything more than around a 5% chance of precipitation across northern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:21 p.m. Sat Oct 3
through the work week, this will push the thermal ridge far enoughNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
pushing temperatures back into the upper 70s,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.
From the 5:53 p.m. discussion
From the NWS discussion issued 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3.
How sure forecasters were
The models forecasters use put the chance of measurable rain at 10 percent or less, so they are keeping the forecast dry. The chance of widespread hazardous weather is low through Friday.
remain cool and dry this afternoon, with highs in the low to mid-NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
weak cold front out of the Northern Plains through our area Sunday,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
reinforcing the dry air mass and keeping highs in the 70s under moreNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
Breezy south to southwesterly winds will beNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
possible on Tuesday as the surface anticyclone exits eastwardNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
layer mixing during the afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
- Warmer By Middle of Work WeekNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
east to provide WAA, pushing temperatures back into the upper 70s,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
with highs in lower 80s for points south of Interstate 70.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
and therefore will maintain a dry forecast.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
- Dry weather conditions are expected the next seven days.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Sat Oct 3
plenty of opportunity for the elevated river levels to continue toNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
fall through this week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
probabilities for measurable precipitation at 10 percent or less,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Sat Oct 3
The NWS discussion didn't flag anything.
- Warmer By Middle of Work WeekNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:53 p.m. Sat Oct 3
- Above normal temperatures mid to late next week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Sat Oct 3
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.