continues to drive mild and dry weather conditions across the area

Over the next couple of days

providing southerly flow into the lower Missouri River Valley and gradually pushes temperatures back into the upper 70s and lower 80s

as we get into Wednesday and Thursday

If skies continue to remain mostly clear

help temperatures back into the mid 80s across much of the area, with upper 70s in zones close to the Iowa state line

This could provide convergence for areas north of Interstate 70 during this time, and perhaps could generate light rain activity.

The current forecast updates places slight chance (15-20 percent POPs) into the forecast late Thursday into Friday.

For the weekend, trough deepens and helps drive more southerly flow into the area, which likely keeps temperatures above normal as we progress further into Fall.

However, cloud cover may limit temperatures if the system is able to access more moisture and transport it into the region.

The main question will be how much moisture actually returns to the area in the day preceding, whether flow brings in moisture from the Gulf, or if it is more southwesterly and brings in lower dewpoint air.

Ensemble suites continue bounce between solutions brining in rain, and stay dry.

The main question will be how much moisture actually returns to the area in the day preceding, whether flow brings in moisture from the Gulf, or if it is more southwesterly and brings in lower dewpoint air.

If skies continue to remain mostly clear

help temperatures back into the mid 80s across much of the area

However, cloud cover may limit temperatures if the system is able to access more moisture and transport it into the region.

The current forecast updates places slight chance (15-20 percent POPs) into the forecast late Thursday into Friday.

This could provide convergence for areas north of Interstate 70 during this time, and perhaps could generate light rain activity.

The exception continues to look like Thursday night.

Ensemble guidance depicts a broad low chance, about 15-20% for at least 0.01" of rain, across northern Missouri.

as we get into Wednesday and Thursday

If skies continue to remain mostly clear

help temperatures back into the mid 80s across much of the area, with upper 70s in zones close to the Iowa state line

For Tuesday onward, high pressure shifts to the eastern US, with low- level flow becoming southerly to southwesterly.

This will lead to warm advection through the middle of the country and as a result, we'll see our highs climb into the low to mid 80s for the southern two-thirds of the forecast area, and the upper 70s for northern Missouri to the Iowa state line.

Later Thursday into early Friday, H5 ridge over the western CONUS will start to break down with the potential for a mid-level vort maxima to traverse the central CONUS.

The current forecast updates places slight chance (15-20 percent POPs) into the forecast late Thursday into Friday.

- Isolated Rain Possible Thursday/Friday

into the 80s for many locations today

Tomorrow, a weak front will move into the area and settle just south of the area tomorrow night.

Ahead of this boundary, temperatures will surge

in the mid to potentially upper 80s, especially in our southern

That boundary lifts northward Thursday and by

there is still a 5-10%

chance for precipitation across northern Missouri.

The best forcing and ascent looks shifted northwest into Nebraska though, so our potential has decreased.

- Mainly dry through the weekend, rain chances return early next week.

With persistent warm advection, we should see highs in the 80s be maintained.

Our normal highs for the end of the week are near 70 so we will likely be at least 10 degrees above normal and potentially 15+ degrees above normal by late in the weekend.

We'll also need to monitor the track a potential tropical system.

Models move a system onshore along the Gulf coast and take it to the east of the area Sunday into Monday.

So for now, it looks dry for our forecast area.

This system may bring some unsettled weather into the middle of the US next week, generally at the tail end of this forecast or beyond it.

it still looks like there is some low

The best forcing and

ascent looks shifted northwest into Nebraska though

We'll also need to monitor the track a potential tropical system.

So for now, it looks dry for our forecast area.

This system may bring some unsettled weather into the middle of the US next week, generally at the tail end of this forecast or beyond it.

The best forcing and ascent looks shifted northwest into Nebraska though, so our potential has decreased.

there is still a 5-10%

chance for precipitation across northern Missouri.

PoPs look low enough now to not carry

The current forecast updates places slight chance (15-20 percent POPs) into the forecast late Thursday into Friday.

This could provide convergence for areas north of Interstate 70 during this time, and perhaps could generate light rain activity.

Ahead of this boundary, temperatures will surge

in the mid to potentially upper 80s, especially in our southern

as we get into Wednesday and Thursday.

If skies continue to remain mostly clear, stronger mixing if favored to help temperatures back into the mid 80s across much of the area, with upper 70s in zones close to the Iowa state line.

We'll also need to monitor the track a potential tropical system.

So for now, it looks dry for our forecast area.

- Mainly dry through the weekend, rain chances return early next week.

This system may bring some unsettled weather into the middle of the US next week, generally at the tail end of this forecast or beyond it.

There is a low chance (~15%) Thursday night across northern Missouri.

there is still a 5-10%

temperatures are expected to climb into the low 80s across much of

in southern portions of the forecast area and into central Missouri

where some locations could see high temperatures in the mid/upper

The normal high temperature at Sedalia (KDMO) on October 7,

tomorrow's forecast high temperature

currently sits at 85 F, a 14 degF difference.

A weak surface front will sink south Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Areas generally north of the Missouri River can expect to see temperatures in the mid 70s on Thursday, and although this slightly closer to normal, it is still around 5 degF warmer.

As for areas along and south of the Missouri River, temperatures are broadly forecast to top out in the upper 70s and lower 80s with isolated locations in our southern fringes reaching the mid 80s.

PoPs Thursday night into Friday morning across northern Missouri were further reduced in this forecast cycle, now sitting below 5%.

While a brief, isolated shower can't be totally ruled out, the low- level jet axis continues to favor areas in Nebraska and Iowa for shower development.

This will result in building heat over the weekend, with temperatures ranging from the lower 80s in our north to the upper 80s in our southern tier of counties.

- Mostly dry through the weekend with rain chances returning early next week.

A more unsettled pattern appears to lie in wait for us next week, most clearly in the form of a deepening upper trough along the West Coast.

Rather, our next best chance of rain is more likely associated with the upper trough and its associated surface low, possibly bringing a cold front through the area early next week.

While substantial uncertainty remains, remnants of Invest 92L may propagate into portions of central and eastern Missouri as early as Sunday.

While substantial uncertainty remains, remnants of Invest 92L may propagate into portions of central and eastern Missouri as early as Sunday.

As things stand in the current guidance suite, it does not appear that this would bring any meaningful opportunity of rain to our area.

PoPs Thursday night into Friday morning across northern Missouri were further reduced in this forecast cycle, now sitting below 5%.

any mention of corresponding weather but there is still a 5-10%

chance for precipitation across northern Missouri.

While substantial uncertainty remains, remnants of Invest 92L may propagate into portions of central and eastern Missouri as early as Sunday.

As things stand in the current guidance suite, it does not appear that this would bring any meaningful opportunity of rain to our area.

Models move a system onshore along the Gulf coast and take it to the east of the area Sunday into Monday.

Our normal highs for the end of the week are near 70 so we will likely be at least 10 degrees above normal and potentially 15+ degrees above normal by late in the weekend. We'll also need to monitor the track a potential tropical system. Models move a system onshore along the Gulf coast and take it to the east of the area Sunday into Monday. So for now, it looks dry for our forecast area.

Even warmer conditions are expected on Tuesday, especially

The normal high temperature at Sedalia (KDMO) on October 7,

tomorrow's forecast high temperature