Its associated cold front has begun to move into NW Missouri and NE Kansas, and will begin to cool down the area.

Unfortunately though, a good amount of low-level moisture remains behind the front, and will allow dreary and overcast conditions to continue through much or all of the remaining day-time period.

Scattered showers to isolated general thunder will remain possible near and ahead of this frontal passage as well.

- Shower activity comes to an end across the area by this evening.

Along with its associated surface low, a secondary cold front will drop through the area this evening and overnight.

Hi-res guidance, such as HRRR/RAP, have noted a period of enhanced wind gusts with this push (strong subsidence), including run-to-run depictions of gusts into the low-40s mph between 01z [8 PM CDT]-06z [1 AM CDT] this evening.

By Friday morning, the much cooler conditions will have settled across the area with expected lows in the lower 40s for most.

Breezy conditions will continue through the day Friday as well with NW to N winds around 20 mph and gusts 25 to 35 mph.

Ongoing CAA will also limit warming through the day, with most forecast in the low 50s.

- Near to below freezing temperatures possible over northern areas late Friday night into Saturday morning.

Friday night into Saturday morning, potential for the first freeze for NW/N portions of the CWA as skies clear and winds go light to calm across the area.

This keeps the sensible weather abundantly quiet and on the seasonably cool to seasonable, but warming side.

Expect temperatures to rise each day, yielding mid-upper 50s Saturday and mid-upper 60s Sunday.

The start of the work week will see the weekend warming trend persist with continued southerly surface flow and gradually warming 850mb temps.

Prevailing consensus remains for temperatures to rise back toward the mid to upper 70s through mid-week.

While mid-level flow will be more southwesterly in nature and a Baja California mid-level cutoff low gets absorbed into the flow, precipitation chances remain minimal through at least mid- week among the majority of members within ensemble guidance.

NBM did come in notably lighter during this window, have blended in HRRR/RAP solutions to signal the increasingly likely period of enhanced wind gusts.

Cloud cover extent and duration will ultimately be the determinant there.

Hi-res guidance, such as HRRR/RAP, have noted a period of enhanced wind gusts with this push (strong subsidence), including run-to-run depictions of gusts into the low-40s mph between 01z [8 PM CDT]-06z [1 AM CDT] this evening.

NBM did come in notably lighter during this window, have blended in HRRR/RAP solutions to signal the increasingly likely period of enhanced wind gusts.

- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning.

MO...Freeze Watch from late Friday night through Saturday morning for MOZ001>007-011>016-020.

Cloud cover extent and duration will ultimately be the determinant there.

Skies may initially be on the clear side, but an area of stratus may drop through as the core of the northern stream mid- level trough passes through the region.

- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning.

Given the cooler trend in guidance, have coordinated a Freeze Watch for portions of the area with western and northern neighbors.

Temperatures may flirt with the freezing mark across northern Missouri and NE Kansas.

This should yield areas of frost across the area, with some sort of frost/freeze product potentially being needed depending on how guidance trends over the next 36 hours.

By Friday morning, the much cooler conditions will have settled across the area with expected lows in the lower 40s for most.

Another mid/upper trough will become more amplified and dig further south out of Canada and into the Midwest late tonight into early Friday, sending another reinforcing shot of colder and drier air, with temperatures falling into the mid 40s by Friday morning.

Ongoing CAA will also limit warming through the day, with most forecast in the low 50s.

- Much colder and drier air will move in behind the front, with high temperatures on Friday only reaching the low to mid 50s and gusty northwesterly winds continuing into Friday afternoon.

Expect temperatures to rise each day, yielding mid-upper 50s Saturday and mid-upper 60s Sunday.

Saturday should be a beautiful (albeit slightly cool) mid October day, with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s, clear skies, and light winds.

- Near to below freezing temperatures possible over northern areas late Friday night into Saturday morning.

- A cool and breezy day is expected today with highs in the low to mid 50s and northerly winds gusting 25 to 35 mph.

morning/early afternoon with northerly winds gusting to 30-35 mph.

ushering in mostly cloudy to cloudy skies. This coupled with the

winds to relax as the upper level trough shifts east allowing skies to clear tonight.

freeze with temperatures expected to fall into the low to mid 30s,

inviting the potential for the first freeze of the season across the

northwestern and northern CWA and a first frost for much of the rest

So, despite sunny skies, highs will hold

in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Skies are expected to remain clear

develop keeping temperatures from dropping below freezing however,

patchy frost cannot be ruled out.

coupled with modest WAA and sunny skies will drive highs back to

seasonal normals in the mid to upper 60s.

The extended period looks mostly quiet with broad upper level ridging for the first half of the work week becoming more amplified over the central CONUS in the second half of the work week.

This will produce a warming trend through the week with temperatures on Monday starting the week slightly above normal with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

However, highs by Thursday and Friday will move well above normal rising into the mid 70s to mid 80s.

The next slight chance (15-25%) for precipitation doesn't arrive until Friday as a upper level trough move out from the southwestern CONUS into the central/northern Plains weakening as it does.

- Near to below freezing temperatures possible over northern areas late Friday night into Saturday morning.

This will create a good radiational cooling setup

While this is not expected to be a hard or killing

- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

MO...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Saturday morning for MOZ001>007-011>016-020.

any sensitive vegetation will need to be protected tonight.

Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017- 021>025-028>033-037>039-043-044.

northwestern and northern CWA and a first frost for much of the rest

This will create a good radiational cooling setup

inviting the potential for the first freeze of the season across the

tonight night however, the surface ridge is expected to shift east

develop keeping temperatures from dropping below freezing however,

patchy frost cannot be ruled out.

Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017- 021>025-028>033-037>039-043-044.

- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

MO...Freeze Watch from late Friday night through Saturday morning for MOZ001>007-011>016-020.

in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Expect temperatures to rise each day, yielding mid-upper 50s Saturday and mid-upper 60s Sunday.

strong CAA will hold highs in the low to mid 50s.

Ongoing CAA will also limit warming through the day, with most forecast in the low 50s.

tonight night however, the surface ridge is expected to shift east

- Overnight lows Friday night into Saturday morning should drop into the mid to upper 30s, with areas of frost likely.

freeze with temperatures expected to fall into the low to mid 30s,

- A cool and breezy day is expected today with highs in the low to mid 50s and northerly winds gusting 25 to 35 mph.

ushering in mostly cloudy to cloudy skies

continue through the day today making out during the late morning/early afternoon

allowing winds to relax

allowing skies to clear tonight

temperatures expected to fall into the low to mid 30s

the potential for the first freeze of the season across the northwestern and northern CWA and a first frost for much of the rest of the CWA

despite sunny skies, highs will hold in the upper 50s to lower 60s

Skies are expected to remain clear

light southerly winds to develop keeping temperatures from dropping below freezing

patchy frost cannot be ruled out

Sunday, slight height rises coupled with modest WAA and sunny skies will drive highs back to seasonal normals in the mid to upper 60s

The extended period looks mostly quiet with broad upper level ridging for the first half of the work week becoming more amplified over the central CONUS in the second half of the work week.

This will produce a warming trend through the week with temperatures on Monday starting the week slightly above normal with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

However, highs by Thursday and Friday will move well above normal rising into the mid 70s to mid 80s.

The next slight chance (15-25%) for precipitation doesn't arrive until Friday as a upper level trough move out from the southwestern CONUS into the central/northern Plains weakening as it does.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

MO...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007- 011>016-020.

KS...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for KSZ025-102.

- Near to below freezing temperatures possible over northern areas late Friday night into Saturday morning.

- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

this is not expected to be a hard or killing freeze

any sensitive vegetation will need to be protected tonight

Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017- 021>025-028>033-037>039-043-044.

Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for KSZ057-060- 103>105.

a first frost for much of the rest of the CWA

keeping temperatures from dropping below freezing however, patchy frost cannot be ruled out

MO...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007- 011>016-020.

KS...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for KSZ025-102.

MO...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Saturday morning for MOZ001>007-011>016-020.

KS...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Saturday morning for KSZ025-102.

- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

MO...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007- 011>016-020.

Skies are expected to remain clear tonight night

the upper 40s and low 50s

expect gusty winds out of the north up to

30mph, before diminishing in the evening hours

This will help push off any remaining cloud

allow temperatures to drop into the 30s

areas north of Interstate 70 will likely dip down into the low 30s,

The rest of the area will get down into the mid-30s

Saturday and Sunday will be quiet as our trough moves off to the east, along with the high pressure approaching.

We will also see little if any cloud cover this weekend, as drier air advects from our north.

Temperatures will also climb back up into the 60s, especially on Sunday as pressure heights increase and warm air advection moves into our region.

Conditions will remain quiet throughout next week, with the ridge staying in place, and allowing southerly flow to advect warm air.

Temperatures then will return into the 70s and 80s by the middle part of the week.

As this disturbance gets its act together, it will move into our area by late next week and into the weekend.

Exact timing and effects still remain to be seen, as certainty will increase as we get closer to the time period.

- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

MO...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007- 011>016-020.

- Near to below freezing temperatures possible over northern areas late Friday night into Saturday morning.

include protecting any sensitive plants, crops, and vegetation.

Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017- 021>025-028>033-037>039-043-044.

The rest of the area will get down into the mid-30s

Exact timing and effects still remain to be seen, as certainty will increase as we get closer to the time period.

- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

As this disturbance gets its act together, it will move into our area by late next week and into the weekend.

Exact timing and effects still remain to be seen, as certainty will increase as we get closer to the time period.

The next slight chance (15-25%) for precipitation doesn't arrive until Friday as a upper level trough move out from the southwestern CONUS into the central/northern Plains weakening as it does.

the upper 40s and low 50s

strong CAA will hold highs in the low to mid 50s.

- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

MO...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007- 011>016-020.

Exact timing and effects still remain to be seen, as certainty will increase as we get closer to the time period.

- Winds will diminish with temperatures falling into the 30s throughout Friday evening.

This will help push off any remaining cloud

areas north of Interstate 70 will likely dip down into the low 30s,

- Near to below freezing temperatures possible over northern areas late Friday night into Saturday morning.

The rest of the area will get down into the mid-30s

Saturday and Sunday will be quiet as our trough moves off to the east, along with the high pressure approaching.

We will also see little if any cloud cover this weekend, as drier air advects from our north.

Temperatures will also climb back up into the 60s, especially on Sunday as pressure heights increase and warm air advection moves into our region.

Conditions will remain quiet throughout next week, with the ridge staying in place, and allowing southerly flow to advect warm air.

Temperatures then will return into the 70s and 80s by the middle part of the week.

As this disturbance gets its act together, it will move into our area by late next week and into the weekend.

Exact timing and effects still remain to be seen, as certainty will increase as we get closer to the time period.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

MO...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007-011>016- 020.

- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

include protecting any sensitive plants, crops, and vegetation.

Frost Advisory until 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017-021>025- 028>033-037>039-043-044.

Exact timing and effects still remain to be seen, as certainty will increase as we get closer to the time period.

MO...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007-011>016- 020.

Frost Advisory until 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017-021>025- 028>033-037>039-043-044.

MO...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007- 011>016-020.

Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017- 021>025-028>033-037>039-043-044.

- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.