Plain versions of the NWS discussions issued that day. wxexplained wasn't running yet: they were written later (Fri Nov 6) from the NWS text, the same way and with the same checks. This is not the current forecast. Today's forecast
Alerts
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping NWS alerts on November 6, 2026. See the NWS discussion below for the watches and warnings it listed.
4 versions of the page that day, oldest first.
From the discussion of 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16, current when the day began
From the NWS discussion issued 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters say the low 30s north of Interstate 70 are likely. The late-next-week system's timing and effects remain to be seen. The outlook calls the chance of widespread hazardous weather Saturday through Thursday low.
- Winds will diminish with temperatures falling into the 30s throughout Friday evening.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
This will help push off any remaining cloudNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
areas north of Interstate 70 will likely dip down into the low 30s,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
- Near to below freezing temperatures possible over northern areas late Friday night into Saturday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
The rest of the area will get down into the mid-30sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Saturday and Sunday will be quiet as our trough moves off to the east, along with the high pressure approaching.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
We will also see little if any cloud cover this weekend, as drier air advects from our north.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Temperatures will also climb back up into the 60s, especially on Sunday as pressure heights increase and warm air advection moves into our region.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Conditions will remain quiet throughout next week, with the ridge staying in place, and allowing southerly flow to advect warm air.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Temperatures then will return into the 70s and 80s by the middle part of the week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
As this disturbance gets its act together, it will move into our area by late next week and into the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Exact timing and effects still remain to be seen, as certainty will increase as we get closer to the time period.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Fri Oct 16
A Freeze Warning means freezing temperatures are expected in parts of northeast Kansas and northwest and north Missouri. Protect sensitive plants, crops, and vegetation.
A Frost Advisory, meaning frost is possible, covers most of the rest of the area outside the Freeze Warning. Protect sensitive plants, crops, and vegetation.
MO...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007-011>016- 020.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
include protecting any sensitive plants, crops, and vegetation.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Frost Advisory until 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017-021>025- 028>033-037>039-043-044.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Exact timing and effects still remain to be seen, as certainty will increase as we get closer to the time period.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
MO...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007-011>016- 020.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Frost Advisory until 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017-021>025- 028>033-037>039-043-044.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
MO...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007- 011>016-020.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 6:41 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017- 021>025-028>033-037>039-043-044.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 6:41 p.m. Fri Oct 16
- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Fri Oct 16
- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.
From the 2:27 a.m. discussion
From the NWS discussion issued 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17.
How sure forecasters were
The discussion says the forecast "looks to" stay mainly dry with a warming trend. It does not otherwise say how sure forecasters are; the only rain chance given is less than 20%.
- Near freezing temperatures this morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
this morning in the low to mid 30sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
Clear skies and light windsNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri through 9AM Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
advisory is in effect for much of he rest of the forecast areaNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
temperatures will remain below normalNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
sunny skies will aid in temperatures rising into the upperNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
50s to lower 60sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
This will hold low temperatures in the mid 30s to lower 40sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
keeping patchy frost relegated to just sheltered areaNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
temperatures to return to near seasonal normals with highs in the mid 60sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
This couple with continued modest WAA will allow high to move back about normal in the upper 60s to lower 70s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
These height rises will aid in high warming into the low to mid 70s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
Tuesday night, a shortwave rounding the upper level ridge acts to briefly flatten the ridge and brings the only really chance for isolated showers (less than 20%) to the area mainly across northern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
Wednesday, the upper level ridge continues to become more amplified pushing highs into the mid 70s to the lower 80s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
This upper level ridge will remain in control of the area through the remainder of the work week as WAA increases across the area allowing high son Thursday and Friday to rise into the upper 70s to mid 80s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
This forecast package looks to remain mainly dry with a warmingNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
A Freeze Warning is in effect until 9 AM for parts of northeast Kansas and northwest and north Missouri, meaning temperatures near or at freezing.
A Frost Advisory, an alert about frost, is in effect until 9 AM for most of the rest of the area.
- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri through 9AM Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
- Near freezing temperatures this morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
Frost Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MOZ008-017- 021>025-028>033-037>039-043-044.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
Tuesday night, a shortwave rounding the upper level ridge acts to briefly flatten the ridge and brings the only really chance for isolated showers (less than 20%) to the area mainly across northern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
This upper level ridge will remain in control of the area through the remainder of the work week as WAA increases across the area allowing high son Thursday and Friday to rise into the upper 70s to mid 80s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
As this disturbance gets its act together, it will move into our area by late next week and into the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Exact timing and effects still remain to be seen, as certainty will increase as we get closer to the time period.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
Tuesday night, a shortwave rounding the upper level ridge acts to briefly flatten the ridge and brings the only really chance for isolated showers (less than 20%) to the area mainly across northern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
Conditions will remain quiet throughout next week, with the ridge staying in place, and allowing southerly flow to advect warm air.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:49 p.m. Fri Oct 16
- A Freeze Watch is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Fri Oct 16
- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri through 9AM Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
until 9AM for northeastern Kansas and northwest MissouriNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:27 a.m. Sat Oct 17
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.
From the 11:23 a.m. discussion
The plain version didn't pass the accuracy check (a quote or number didn't match the NWS text), so the NWS text was shown instead.
- Near freezing temperatures this morning.
- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW
and N Missouri through 9AM Frost Advisory in effect for
most of the rest of the forecast area.This forecast package looks to remain mainly dry with a warming trend through the period. Early this morning a surface ridge of high pressure is building into the area. Clear skies and light winds are providing a good radiational cooling set up allowing lows to start this morning in the low to mid 30s. A freeze warning is in effect until 9AM for northeastern Kansas and northwest Missouri and a frost advisory is in effect for much of he rest of the forecast area. After the chilly start to the day, temperatures will remain below normal today as the area remains under cool northwest flow aloft and the aforementioned surface ridge of high pressure remains in control. However, sunny skies will aid in temperatures rising into the upper 50s to lower 60s. Tonight, the surface ridge axis will slide south and east of the area allowing weak warm advection to develop in its wake. This will hold low temperatures in the mid 30s to lower 40s keeping patchy frost relegated to just sheltered area. Sunday, the upper level flow across the central CONUS will become quasi-zonal and weak WAA will continue at the surface. This will allow temperatures to return to near seasonal normals with highs in the mid 60s. Monday, a upper level trough will look to dig into the west coast. This will allow upstream, low-amplitude, upper level ridging to build over the central CONUS. This couple with continued modest WAA will allow high to move back about normal in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Tuesday, the upper level ridging across the central CONUS begin to become more amplified. These height rises will aid in high warming into the low to mid 70s. Tuesday night, a shortwave rounding the upper level ridge acts to briefly flatten the ridge and brings the only really chance for isolated showers (less than 20%) to the area mainly across northern Missouri. Wednesday, the upper level ridge continues to become more amplified pushing highs into the mid 70s to the lower 80s. This upper level ridge will remain in control of the area through the remainder of the work week as WAA increases across the area allowing high son Thursday and Friday to rise into the upper 70s to mid 80s.
MO...None. KS...None.
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.
From the 1:47 p.m. discussion
From the NWS discussion issued 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters say above-normal temperatures are likely by midweek, with a >70 percent chance from Wednesday on. The timing of next weekend's rain is less settled.
to fall into the upper 30s-lower 40s tonightNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
patchy frost in a few low lying locationsNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
Dry conditions with gradual warming trend throughout the upcoming week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
925 hpa temperatures warm a few degrees each day leading to the warming trend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
Temperatures likely returning above normal by midweek.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
with temperatures building back into the 70s and 80s (>70 percentNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
chance of above normal temperatures Wednesday and beyond)NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
Pattern is expected to begin to break down late next week as east coast trough weakens and shifts southwest along the coast.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
A deepening trough along the west coast will gradually inch eastward late in the week, leading to building rain chances next weekend, though the trend has been towards a slower solution keeping precipitation chances just beyond the seven day forecast.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
Lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s could bring patchy frost in a few low-lying spots.
to fall into the upper 30s-lower 40s tonightNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
patchy frost in a few low lying locationsNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
A deepening trough along the west coast will gradually inch eastward late in the week, leading to building rain chances next weekend, though the trend has been towards a slower solution keeping precipitation chances just beyond the seven day forecast.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
Dry conditions with gradual warming trend throughout the upcoming week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
Temperatures likely returning above normal by midweek.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
- Near freezing temperatures this morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Sat Oct 17
- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri through 9AM Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Sat Oct 17
until 9AM for northeastern Kansas and northwest Missouri and a frostNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:23 a.m. Sat Oct 17
Tuesday night, a shortwave rounding the upper level ridge acts to briefly flatten the ridge and brings the only really chance for isolated showers (less than 20%) to the area mainly across northern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:23 a.m. Sat Oct 17
to fall into the upper 30s-lower 40s tonightNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
patchy frost in a few low lying locationsNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:47 p.m. Sat Oct 17
This will hold low temperatures in the mid 30s to lower 40sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:23 a.m. Sat Oct 17
keeping patchy frost relegated to just sheltered areaNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:23 a.m. Sat Oct 17
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 0501 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Sat Oct 17
- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri through 9AM Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Sat Oct 17
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.