Plain versions of the NWS discussions issued that day. wxexplained wasn't running yet: they were written later (Fri Nov 6) from the NWS text, the same way and with the same checks. This is not the current forecast. Today's forecast
Alerts
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping NWS alerts on November 6, 2026. See the NWS discussion below for the watches and warnings it listed.
3 versions of the page that day, oldest first.
From the discussion of 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20, current when the day began
From the NWS discussion issued 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters say above normal temperatures are expected through the weekend and that meaningful rain is unlikely with the sprinkles. Sunday's shower chances in far northwest Missouri remain low because of dry air low in the atmosphere.
- A few sprinkles are possible (10-15%) this afternoon through tomorrow morning, but meaningful precipitation is not expected.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
is expected to spread acrossNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
allowing temperatures to peak around 70F todayNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
At the surface, high pressure over the Great Lakes will result in light southerly winds.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Weak WAA and mid-level height rises will yield high temperatures in the mid-70s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
By Thursday, the ridge axis will once again be centered overhead, with the height rises and WAA bringing temperatures into the upper 70s through Saturday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
This system will lift northeast into Canada and its cold front will advance towards the Central Plains, but is not expected to make it this far south before stalling out.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Although it will remain stalled north of the area, forcing along the front may be enough to see a few showers on Sunday across far northwestern MO, although the chances remain low (15-30%) given the presence of dry low- level air.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
- Predominantly dry conditions through the weekend for most locations.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Another trough ejection on Sunday should be enough force the cold front across the area on Monday, bringing high temperatures back towards seasonal normals in the low-to-mid 60s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
- Above normal temperatures expected through this weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
unlikely that any meaningful precipitation will be seen acrossNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
The NWS discussion didn't flag anything.
This system will lift northeast into Canada and its cold front will advance towards the Central Plains, but is not expected to make it this far south before stalling out.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Although it will remain stalled north of the area, forcing along the front may be enough to see a few showers on Sunday across far northwestern MO, although the chances remain low (15-30%) given the presence of dry low- level air.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Although it will remain stalled north of the area, forcing along the front may be enough to see a few showers on Sunday across far northwestern MO, although the chances remain low (15-30%) given the presence of dry low- level air.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Sunday is expected to be dry and warm as the cold front stall north and west of the forecast area with highs remaining in the 70s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:21 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Another trough ejection on Sunday should be enough force the cold front across the area on Monday, bringing high temperatures back towards seasonal normals in the low-to-mid 60s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Highs Monday will be in the mid 60s to lower 70s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:21 p.m. Tue Oct 20
This feature will finally drive the cold front into the area on Monday bringing the chance for showers (15-30%) however, moisture will be meager.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:21 p.m. Tue Oct 20
By Thursday, the ridge axis will once again be centered overhead, with the height rises and WAA bringing temperatures into the upper 70s through Saturday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
This will provide continued height rises pushing highs into the mid 70s to lower 80s by Saturday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:21 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Another trough ejection on Sunday should be enough force the cold front across the area on Monday, bringing high temperatures back towards seasonal normals in the low-to-mid 60s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:55 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.
From the 2:45 a.m. discussion
From the NWS discussion issued 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters say warm, dry weather is "expected" through the weekend and sprinkles are only "possible" this morning in eastern Kansas and western Missouri. The discussion doesn't say how sure they are about Monday's rain beyond its 20-50% chance.
- A few sprinkles are possible (10-15%) through mid-morning, but meaningful precipitation is not expected.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
moving into the eastern Kansas and western MissouriNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
falling into dry air below 10kftNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
relegated to brief very light sprinklesNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions expected through this weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
These brief sprinkles may continue until mid-morningNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
will drive highs into the low to mid 70sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
expected Thursday as the upper level ridge axis moves from theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
the mid to upper 70sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
Friday and Saturday, the upper level ridgeNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
This will aid in highs rising into the midNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
70 to near 80.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
This will force an attendant cold front into the Plains on Sunday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
The local area will remain in the warm sector ahead of the front with highs again in the 70s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
- Rain chances return Monday (20-50%).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
The upper trough will then move through the region on Monday night continuing shower chances as the front is forcing through the CWA.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
Temperatures in Monday will range from the lower 60s to lower 70s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
Surface high pressure will build into the area behind the cold front cooling highs to near seasonal normals in the upper 50s to mid 60s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
The NWS discussion didn't flag anything.
- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions expected through this weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
Only low precipitation chances (15-30%) for extreme NW MO on Sunday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:57 p.m. Tue Oct 20
- Rain chances return Monday (20-50%).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
Another trough ejection on Sunday should be enough force the cold front across the area on Monday, bringing high temperatures back towards seasonal normals in the low-to-mid 60s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:57 p.m. Tue Oct 20
Temperatures in Monday will range from the lower 60s to lower 70s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
Surface high pressure will build into the area behind the cold front cooling highs to near seasonal normals in the upper 50s to mid 60s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:45 a.m. Wed Oct 21
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.
From the 2:53 p.m. discussion
From the NWS discussion issued 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters expect the warm, dry weather through the weekend. The main uncertainty is how much colder it gets Monday and Tuesday: one forecast tool's middle range for highs at MCI is 63 to 73 degrees Monday and 58 to 73 degrees Tuesday.
Clear skies and light winds will continue through the remainderNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
the lower 50s across most of the CWANWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
temperatures a few degrees for tomorrow afternoon, with clearNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
skies and nearly calm winds continuing.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
Afternoon high temps should remain in the mid to upper 70s for Friday through Sunday, although the increased cloud cover overnight should keep overnight lows a few degrees warmer.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
This should help generate some increased cloud cover moving in from the west by Saturday and especially Sunday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
Most guidance wants to bring the aforementioned western trough and the associated cold front through the area Monday into Tuesday, bringing in cooler temperatures and slight chance PoPs (15% to 20%).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
The main question at this time is just how much colder will temperatures be, as the most recent NBM run shows the 25th and 75th percentiles for MaxT on Monday at MCI as 63 and 73 degrees, respectively, and 58 and 73 degrees, respectively, for Tuesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions are expected through the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
The NWS discussion didn't flag anything.
The main question at this time is just how much colder will temperatures be, as the most recent NBM run shows the 25th and 75th percentiles for MaxT on Monday at MCI as 63 and 73 degrees, respectively, and 58 and 73 degrees, respectively, for Tuesday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
Most guidance wants to bring the aforementioned western trough and the associated cold front through the area Monday into Tuesday, bringing in cooler temperatures and slight chance PoPs (15% to 20%).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
- Rain chances return Monday (20-50%).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Wed Oct 21
Afternoon high temps should remain in the mid to upper 70s for Friday through Sunday, although the increased cloud cover overnight should keep overnight lows a few degrees warmer.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
coupled with modest WAA. This will aid in highs rising into the midNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:55 p.m. Wed Oct 21
70 to near 80.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 12:55 p.m. Wed Oct 21
- Rain chances return Monday (20-50%).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Wed Oct 21
Most guidance wants to bring the aforementioned western trough and the associated cold front through the area Monday into Tuesday, bringing in cooler temperatures and slight chance PoPs (15% to 20%).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:53 p.m. Wed Oct 21
Not recorded: wxexplained began keeping the NWS forecast numbers on November 6, 2026.