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Kansas City metro · NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill · Past days · About
Archive: Sunday, November 8, 2026.

What wxexplained showed that day. This is not the current forecast. Today's forecast

Alerts

Out that day

No watches, warnings or advisories for the Kansas City points that day.

5 versions of the page that day, oldest first.

Shown when the day began (up since 11:31 p.m. Sat Nov 7)

Frost Advisory south of Interstate 70 until 8 AM Sunday; then mild and mostly dry into midweek, with slight rain chances mainly south of I-70.

From the NWS discussion issued 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7.

The forecast

  • Late tonight into Sunday morning (South of Interstate 70): South of Interstate 70, clear skies may let lows dip into the lower 30s, with frost possible. A Frost Advisory is in effect until 8 AM CST Sunday.
  • Sunday through the start of the work week: Mild and mostly dry for the next few days, with temperatures back into the 60s to start the work week.
  • Wednesday into Thursday (Mainly south of Interstate 70; southeastern parts of the area): Next rain chances come Wednesday into Thursday. Only a slight chance, focused mainly south of Interstate 70; most places expected to stay mostly dry except the southeastern parts of the area.
  • Toward the end of the work week: Cooler air arrives toward the end of the work week, with highs in the mid 50s.

How sure forecasters were

Frost is described as possible (lows "may" reach the lower 30s). Forecasters say it remains uncertain whether two midweek weather systems will combine, which affects rain chances.

Read the NWS wording
Clear skies and efficient radiational cooling may allow lows to dip into the lower 30s for areas south of Interstate 70 late tonight and early Sunday, leading to the potential for Frost Conditions.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Sunday for MOZ040-044>046-053- 054.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
Surface anticyclone will keep conditions mild for the next few days
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
- Mostly Dry Through Middle of Week
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
which will push temperatures back into the 60s to start the next work week.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
- Next Rain Chances Wednesday into Thursday
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
For right now, slight chance POPs will be focused primarily south of Interstate 70 through the middle of this week.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
So while a surface cyclone is expected to develop with stronger dCVA, a lot of the forcing is either too far south or too far northeast of the forecast, which would keep conditions mostly dry except for our southeastern zones.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
Toward the end of the work week, northwesterly flow will bring CAA, sending temperatures back in the mid 50s for highs.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
may allow lows to dip into the lower 30s
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
What remains uncertain at this point, is if these two trough axes will phase or not.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7

What to watch

Frost Advisory

Until 8 AM CST Sunday (South of Interstate 70 (parts of Missouri and Kansas))

A Frost Advisory, meaning frost conditions are possible, is in effect until 8 AM CST Sunday for areas south of Interstate 70.

Read the NWS wording
- Frost Advisory South of Interstate 70 Sunday Morning
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Sunday for MOZ040-044>046-053- 054.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
leading to the potential for Frost Conditions.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7

Why the forecast might change

  • If a midweek weather system coming from the West slows down, rain showers could reach central and eastern Missouri. (Central and eastern Missouri)
  • Current guidance suggests two midweek systems won't combine until they are east of the area, keeping most of the needed lift too far south or northeast.
Read the NWS wording
If the wave over the Intermountain West slows down, we may see more middle and upper-level support that would bring rain showers to central and eastern Missouri.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
Current guidance suggests that these two waves do not phase until after they are further east of our forecast area.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
So while a surface cyclone is expected to develop with stronger dCVA, a lot of the forcing is either too far south or too far northeast of the forecast, which would keep conditions mostly dry except for our southeastern zones.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7

Where the NWS text was unclear

  • An earlier Hazardous Weather Outlook (issued Saturday morning) says conditions are expected to remain dry, while the discussion includes slight rain chances Wednesday into Thursday, mainly south of Interstate 70.
Read the NWS wording
Conditions are expected to remain dry, but cooler conditions are expected Thursday-Satuday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:03 a.m. Sat Nov 7
- Next Rain Chances Wednesday into Thursday
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7

The numbers then

  • Tonight 42°Clear0% precip.
  • Sun64° 44°Sunny0% precip.
  • Mon68° 48°Sunny0% precip.
  • Tue68° 50°Sunny4% precip.
  • Wed65° 43°Mostly Sunny6% precip.
  • Thu56° 36°Mostly Sunny3% precip.
  • Fri55° 40°Sunny1% precip.
  • Sat62°Sunny1% precip.

The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 9:16 p.m. Sat Nov 7).

Beyond the 7-day forecast

6 to 10 days out · Nov 13–17

Temperature: 60% chance of above normal

Precipitation: 40% chance of below normal

8 to 14 days out · Nov 15–21

Temperature: 70% chance of above normal

Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal

Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.

Shown from 4:02 a.m.

Frost Advisory until 8 AM this morning for parts of west-central Missouri and Linn County, Kansas; mild and dry through Wednesday, cooler Thursday through Saturday.

From the NWS discussion issued 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8. Rewritten 7:44 p.m. Sun Nov 8: NWS zone codes replaced with place names.

The forecast

  • This morning (Sunday) (Patchy fog in low-lying areas; Frost Advisory for Howard, Johnson (MO), Pettis, Cooper, Bates and Henry counties in Missouri and Linn County, Kansas): Patchy fog, mostly in low-lying spots, should clear within a few hours of sunrise. A Frost Advisory runs until 8 AM in the listed Missouri counties and Linn County, Kansas.
  • Today (Sunday) (Whole area; high clouds in northern Missouri): Mostly clear and warmer, with highs in the 60s. A few high clouds may drift into northern Missouri this morning.
  • Monday: Winds from the southwest bring a gradual warming trend.
  • Tuesday (Northern Missouri): Another weak cold front comes in from the north, possibly cooling northern Missouri slightly.
  • Midweek (Whole area dry; possible showers in parts of central Missouri): Mild and dry is expected through Wednesday, but parts of central Missouri may see rain showers along a cold front midweek, depending on how quickly weather systems come together.
  • Thursday through Saturday: Cooler, with the potential for more frost or freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings.
  • Late next weekend: Temperatures trend back above normal for this time of year.

How sure forecasters were

Forecasters use 'expected' for the mild, dry stretch and the cooler late week. The midweek rain chance in central Missouri depends on how quickly weather systems combine, so it is less certain.

Read the NWS wording
Good radiative conditions has allows patchy fog to develop generally confined to low lying areas.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Any fog is expected to burn off within a few hours of sunrise.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ040-044>046- 053-054.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for KSZ060.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
With 925 hpa temperatures nearly 10 degrees C warmer than yesterday and mostly clear skies, expect a larger diurnal curve today with high temperatures in the 60s F.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
A few high clouds may filter into northern Missouri this morning
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Surface ridge reorients itself over the Tennessee River Valley tonight into Monday leading to southwest flow across the region leading to a gradual warming trend Monday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Another weak cold front approaches from the north on Tuesday leading to potential slight cooling across northern Missouri.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
- Mild and dry conditions expected through Wednesday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Depending on how quickly this occurs, portions of central Missouri may see the potential for rain showers along a cold front building south.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
- Cooler conditions expected Thursday - Saturday with north- northwest flow prevailing.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Cooler conditions follow late week with the potential for more frost/freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Temperatures trend back above seasonal norms late next weekend as trough along the east coast shifts east and upper level ridge builds into the central US.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8

What to watch

Frost Advisory

Until 8 AM this morning (Sunday) (Howard, Johnson (MO), Pettis, Cooper, Bates and Henry counties in Missouri; Linn County, Kansas)

A Frost Advisory means frost is possible; it is in effect until 8 AM this morning for these counties.

Patchy fog

This morning (Low-lying areas)

Patchy fog in low spots; forecasters did not consider a dense fog advisory because it should stay patchy, and it should clear within a few hours of sunrise.

Possible frost/freeze

Friday and Saturday mornings

Cooler air late week brings the potential for more frost or freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings.

Read the NWS wording
MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ040-044>046- 053-054.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for KSZ060.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-081103- Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS- Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler- Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton- Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton- Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis- Cooper-Bates-Henry- 0503 AM CST Sat Nov 07 2026
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:03 a.m. Sat Nov 7
- Patchy fog/frost this morning.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Good radiative conditions has allows patchy fog to develop generally confined to low lying areas.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Because the fog is expected to remain patchy, have not considered a dense fog advisory.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Any fog is expected to burn off within a few hours of sunrise.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Cooler conditions follow late week with the potential for more frost/freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8

Why the forecast might change

  • Whether midweek showers happen in central Missouri depends on how quickly several weather systems merge into a deepening dip in the jet stream. (Parts of central Missouri)
Read the NWS wording
A series of waves building southeast attempt to phase into a deepening trough mid-week.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Depending on how quickly this occurs, portions of central Missouri may see the potential for rain showers along a cold front building south.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8

What changed from the discussion before

  • New: the potential for more frost or freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings. The previous discussion only mentioned the late-week cooldown, with highs in the mid 50s.
  • Midweek rain: the previous discussion listed rain chances Wednesday into Thursday, mainly south of I-70. Now it calls for dry through Wednesday, with showers only possible in parts of central Missouri. (Previously south of Interstate 70; now parts of central Missouri)
  • Patchy fog this morning is newly mentioned alongside the frost. (Low-lying areas)
Read the NWS wording
Cooler conditions follow late week with the potential for more frost/freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Toward the end of the work week, northwesterly flow will bring CAA, sending temperatures back in the mid 50s for highs.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
- Mild and dry conditions expected through Wednesday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Depending on how quickly this occurs, portions of central Missouri may see the potential for rain showers along a cold front building south.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
- Next Rain Chances Wednesday into Thursday
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
For right now, slight chance POPs will be focused primarily south of Interstate 70 through the middle of this week.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7
- Patchy fog/frost this morning.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
- Frost Advisory South of Interstate 70 Sunday Morning
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:25 p.m. Sat Nov 7

Where the NWS text was unclear

  • The key message says dry through Wednesday, but the discussion also says parts of central Missouri may see rain showers midweek; it doesn't say exactly which day.
  • "Late next weekend" isn't tied to a date, so it's unclear whether it means this coming weekend or the one after.
Read the NWS wording
- Mild and dry conditions expected through Wednesday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Depending on how quickly this occurs, portions of central Missouri may see the potential for rain showers along a cold front building south.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Temperatures trend back above seasonal norms late next weekend as trough along the east coast shifts east and upper level ridge builds into the central US.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8

The numbers then

  • Tonight 41°Mostly Clear0% precip.
  • Sun65° 42°Sunny0% precip.
  • Mon68° 47°Sunny0% precip.
  • Tue68° 49°Sunny1% precip.
  • Wed63° 41°Mostly Sunny6% precip.
  • Thu55° 34°Mostly Sunny1% precip.
  • Fri54° 39°Sunny0% precip.
  • Sat61°Sunny0% precip.

The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 1:52 a.m. Sun Nov 8).

Beyond the 7-day forecast

6 to 10 days out · Nov 13–17

Temperature: 60% chance of above normal

Precipitation: 40% chance of below normal

8 to 14 days out · Nov 15–21

Temperature: 70% chance of above normal

Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal

Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.

Shown from 5:12 a.m.

The NWS discussion issued 3:50 a.m. Sun Nov 8

The plain version didn't pass the accuracy check (it said something the NWS didn't), so the NWS text was shown instead.

Key messages

- Patchy fog/frost this morning.

- Mild and dry conditions expected through Wednesday.

- Cooler conditions expected Thursday - Saturday with north-
northwest flow prevailing.

Discussion

Broad high pressure continues to dominate the weather front across
the lower 48 leading to tranquil weather conditions.  Good radiative
conditions has allows patchy fog to develop generally confined to
low lying areas. Because the fog is expected to remain patchy, have
not considered a dense fog advisory. Any fog is expected to burn off
within a few hours of sunrise. A weak cold front associated with a
low pressure system over Ontario is expected to approach from the
north today.  A few high clouds may filter into northern Missouri
this morning, but as they continue to push southeast in northwest
flow they encounter more dry air limiting cloud cover today. As
mixing increases today, westerly-northwesterly winds will mix-down
from aloft effectively washing out the boundary.  With 925 hpa
temperatures nearly 10 degrees C warmer than yesterday and mostly
clear skies, expect a larger diurnal curve today with high
temperatures in the 60s F.

Surface ridge reorients itself over the Tennessee River Valley
tonight into Monday leading to southwest flow across the region
leading to a gradual warming trend Monday. Another weak cold front
approaches from the north on Tuesday leading to potential slight
cooling across northern Missouri.

A series of waves building southeast attempt to phase into a
deepening trough mid-week.  Depending on how quickly this occurs,
portions of central Missouri may see the potential for rain showers
along a cold front building south.  Cooler conditions follow late
week with the potential for more frost/freeze conditions Friday and
Saturday mornings.  Temperatures trend back above seasonal norms
late next weekend as trough along the east coast shifts east and
upper level ridge builds into the central US.

Eax watches/warnings/advisories

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ040-044>046-
     053-054.
KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for KSZ060.

The numbers then

  • Tonight 41°Mostly Clear0% precip.
  • Sun65° 42°Sunny0% precip.
  • Mon68° 47°Sunny0% precip.
  • Tue68° 49°Sunny1% precip.
  • Wed63° 41°Mostly Sunny6% precip.
  • Thu55° 34°Mostly Sunny1% precip.
  • Fri54° 39°Sunny0% precip.
  • Sat61°Sunny0% precip.

The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 3:51 a.m. Sun Nov 8).

Beyond the 7-day forecast

6 to 10 days out · Nov 13–17

Temperature: 60% chance of above normal

Precipitation: 40% chance of below normal

8 to 14 days out · Nov 15–21

Temperature: 70% chance of above normal

Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal

Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.

Shown from 12:02 p.m.

Mild and dry through Wednesday after this morning's patchy fog and frost; cooler Thursday–Saturday, with possible frost or freeze Friday and Saturday mornings.

From the NWS discussion issued 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8.

The forecast

  • Today (Sunday) (Fog in low-lying areas; highs whole area): Patchy fog and frost this morning, with fog mostly in low-lying areas, burning off within a few hours of sunrise. Then mostly clear skies with highs in the 60s.
  • Tonight into Monday: Winds turn to come from the southwest, bringing a gradual warming trend Monday. Mild and dry.
  • Tuesday (Northern Missouri for the cooling; whole area otherwise): Another weak cold front comes in from the north, possibly bringing slight cooling to northern Missouri. Still mild and dry.
  • Midweek (Portions of central Missouri for showers): Depending on how fast weather systems come together, portions of central Missouri may see rain showers along a cold front moving south.
  • Thursday through Saturday: Cooler, with winds from the north-northwest. Frost or freeze is possible Friday and Saturday mornings.
  • Late next weekend: Temperatures trend back above normal for this time of year.

How sure forecasters were

The discussion doesn't say how confident forecasters are overall. The Hazardous Weather Outlook says the chance of widespread hazardous weather is low through Saturday. Midweek showers depend on timing.

Read the NWS wording
- Patchy fog/frost this morning.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Good radiative conditions has allows patchy fog to develop generally confined to low lying areas.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Any fog is expected to burn off within a few hours of sunrise.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
With 925 hpa temperatures nearly 10 degrees C warmer than yesterday and mostly clear skies, expect a larger diurnal curve today with high temperatures in the 60s F.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Surface ridge reorients itself over the Tennessee River Valley tonight into Monday leading to southwest flow across the region leading to a gradual warming trend Monday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
- Mild and dry conditions expected through Wednesday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Another weak cold front approaches from the north on Tuesday leading to potential slight cooling across northern Missouri.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
A series of waves building southeast attempt to phase into a deepening trough mid-week.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Depending on how quickly this occurs, portions of central Missouri may see the potential for rain showers along a cold front building south.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
- Cooler conditions expected Thursday - Saturday with north- northwest flow prevailing.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Cooler conditions follow late week with the potential for more frost/freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Temperatures trend back above seasonal norms late next weekend as trough along the east coast shifts east and upper level ridge builds into the central US.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:02 a.m. Sun Nov 8

What to watch

Patchy fog and frost

This morning (Fog mainly in low-lying areas)

Patchy fog, mostly in low-lying areas, plus frost this morning. Forecasters did not issue a Dense Fog Advisory because the fog is patchy; it should clear within a few hours of sunrise.

Possible frost or freeze

Friday and Saturday mornings

Cooler air late in the week brings the potential for frost or freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings.

Read the NWS wording
- Patchy fog/frost this morning.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Good radiative conditions has allows patchy fog to develop generally confined to low lying areas.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Because the fog is expected to remain patchy, have not considered a dense fog advisory.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Any fog is expected to burn off within a few hours of sunrise.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Cooler conditions follow late week with the potential for more frost/freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8

Why the forecast might change

  • Whether showers reach portions of central Missouri midweek depends on how quickly a series of weather disturbances merges into a deepening dip in the jet stream. (Portions of central Missouri)
Read the NWS wording
A series of waves building southeast attempt to phase into a deepening trough mid-week.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Depending on how quickly this occurs, portions of central Missouri may see the potential for rain showers along a cold front building south.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8

What changed from the discussion before

  • The Frost Advisory (a warning that frost could harm plants) that ran until 8 AM this morning has ended; no watches, warnings or advisories are now in effect. (Parts of Missouri and Kansas)
Read the NWS wording
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... [NEW in this discussion] MO...None. KS...None.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for MOZ040-044>046- 053-054.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 5:20 a.m. Sun Nov 8
KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for KSZ060.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 5:20 a.m. Sun Nov 8

Where the NWS text was unclear

  • The key messages say dry through Wednesday, but the discussion also says portions of central Missouri may see rain showers midweek. It doesn't say exactly which day.
Read the NWS wording
- Mild and dry conditions expected through Wednesday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Depending on how quickly this occurs, portions of central Missouri may see the potential for rain showers along a cold front building south.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8
A series of waves building southeast attempt to phase into a deepening trough mid-week.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8

The numbers then

  • Today65° 42°Sunny0% precip.
  • Mon68° 47°Sunny0% precip.
  • Tue68° 49°Sunny1% precip.
  • Wed63° 41°Mostly Sunny6% precip.
  • Thu55° 34°Mostly Sunny1% precip.
  • Fri54° 39°Sunny0% precip.
  • Sat61° 46°Sunny2% precip.

The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 10:42 a.m. Sun Nov 8).

Beyond the 7-day forecast

6 to 10 days out · Nov 13–17

Temperature: 60% chance of above normal

Precipitation: 40% chance of below normal

8 to 14 days out · Nov 15–21

Temperature: 70% chance of above normal

Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal

Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.

Shown from 3:12 p.m.

Warm and dry through Tuesday; fog likely Monday morning in west-central Missouri and eastern Kansas; cooler late week, patchy frost possible Saturday morning.

From the NWS discussion issued 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8.

The forecast

  • Today through Tuesday: Dry and unseasonably warm, about 5-10 degrees above normal.
  • Monday morning (West-central Missouri and eastern Kansas): Widespread fog, with some localized dense fog, is likely in west-central Missouri and eastern Kansas. There's a 50-70% chance of visibility below 2 miles by 6 AM Monday.
  • Monday and Tuesday (Northern Missouri; south of the Missouri River): Highs from the mid 60s in northern Missouri to the low 70s south of the Missouri River.
  • Wednesday and Thursday (Whole area for cooling; central Missouri for rain, highest chances along and east of US 63): The warm streak ends. Light rain or drizzle is possible in central Missouri, with the highest chances only about 10% along and east of US 63. Amounts would be light: around .05" on average, around .1" at the upper end.
  • End of the work week: Highs drop into the upper 40s to low 50s.
  • Saturday morning (Frost: whole area; lows: northern Missouri and central Missouri): Patchy frost possible with light winds. Lows from the upper 20s in northern Missouri to the low 30s in central Missouri.
  • By Sunday: Southerly winds bring temperatures back into the 60s by Sunday.

How sure forecasters were

Forecasters call Monday morning fog "likely" in west-central Missouri and eastern Kansas. Midweek rain chances in central Missouri are only about 10% at most, highest along and east of the US 63 corridor. Saturday frost is "possible." The discussion doesn't otherwise say how sure it is.

Read the NWS wording
- Dry and unseasonably warm temperatures today through Tuesday
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
Dry and unseasonably warm conditions (5-10 degrees above normal)
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
- Widespread fog (some localized dense fog) likely Monday morning
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
is likely in west-central MO and
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
eastern KS, with REFS probabilities for visibility below 2 miles
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
between 50-70% by 12Z [6 AM CST] Monday morning
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
and Tuesday will range from the mid 60s in northern MO to the
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
low 70s south of the Missouri River.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
The streak of non-November like temperatures comes to an end Wednesday and Thursday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
- Light rain/drizzle possible in Central MO Wednesday & Thursday
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
The highest POPs (~10%) are confined along and east of the US63 corridor in MO.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
Accumulations will be light - the LREF 90th percentile for accumulated precipitation is generally around .1" (mean is around .05") in central MO.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
Strong NW flow in the wake of the midweek system will bring highs down into the upper 40s to low 50s to finish out the work week.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
Patchy frost will also be possible Saturday morning, with light winds and lows ranging from the upper 20s in northern MO to low 30s in central MO.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
Southerly flow will increase as a result, bringing temperatures back into the 60s by Sunday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8

What to watch

Fog, some of it dense

Monday morning (West-central Missouri and eastern Kansas)

Widespread fog is likely in west-central Missouri and eastern Kansas, with some localized dense fog.

Patchy frost

Saturday morning (Frost: whole area; lows: northern Missouri and central Missouri)

Patchy frost is possible Saturday morning, with lows from the upper 20s in northern Missouri to the low 30s in central Missouri.

Read the NWS wording
- Widespread fog (some localized dense fog) likely Monday morning
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
is likely in west-central MO and
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
Patchy frost will also be possible Saturday morning, with light winds and lows ranging from the upper 20s in northern MO to low 30s in central MO.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8

What changed from the discussion before

  • New in this discussion: widespread fog, with some localized dense fog, is now called likely Monday morning in west-central Missouri and eastern Kansas. (West-central Missouri and eastern Kansas)
  • The warm stretch now ends Wednesday; the previous discussion had mild and dry conditions through Wednesday.
  • Earlier, forecasters mentioned possible frost/freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings. Now only patchy frost is mentioned, for Saturday morning.
Read the NWS wording
- Widespread fog (some localized dense fog) likely Monday morning
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
is likely in west-central MO and
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
The streak of non-November like temperatures comes to an end Wednesday and Thursday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
- Mild and dry conditions expected through Wednesday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:02 a.m. Sun Nov 8
Patchy frost will also be possible Saturday morning, with light winds and lows ranging from the upper 20s in northern MO to low 30s in central MO.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 2:57 p.m. Sun Nov 8
Cooler conditions follow late week with the potential for more frost/freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:48 a.m. Sun Nov 8

Where the NWS text was unclear

  • The Hazardous Weather Outlook shown was issued earlier Sunday morning and still lists the older key messages, including dry conditions through Wednesday, which differ from the newer discussion.
Read the NWS wording
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 0502 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:02 a.m. Sun Nov 8
- Mild and dry conditions expected through Wednesday.
NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:02 a.m. Sun Nov 8

The numbers then

  • Today65° 44°Sunny0% precip.
  • Mon68° 48°Sunny0% precip.
  • Tue68° 51°Sunny0% precip.
  • Wed64° 42°Mostly Sunny4% precip.
  • Thu52° 32°Mostly Sunny0% precip.
  • Fri50° 34°Sunny0% precip.
  • Sat57° 43°Sunny3% precip.

The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 12:51 p.m. Sun Nov 8).

Beyond the 7-day forecast

6 to 10 days out · Nov 14–18

Temperature: 70% chance of above normal

Precipitation: 33% chance of above normal

8 to 14 days out · Nov 16–22

Temperature: 80% chance of above normal

Precipitation: 50% chance of above normal

Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.