- Dry and unseasonably warm temperatures today through Tuesday

Dry and unseasonably warm conditions (5-10 degrees above normal)

- Widespread fog (some localized dense fog) likely Monday morning

is likely in west-central MO and

eastern KS, with REFS probabilities for visibility below 2 miles

between 50-70% by 12Z [6 AM CST] Monday morning

and Tuesday will range from the mid 60s in northern MO to the

low 70s south of the Missouri River.

The streak of non-November like temperatures comes to an end Wednesday and Thursday.

- Light rain/drizzle possible in Central MO Wednesday & Thursday

The highest POPs (~10%) are confined along and east of the US63 corridor in MO.

Accumulations will be light - the LREF 90th percentile for accumulated precipitation is generally around .1" (mean is around .05") in central MO.

Strong NW flow in the wake of the midweek system will bring highs down into the upper 40s to low 50s to finish out the work week.

Patchy frost will also be possible Saturday morning, with light winds and lows ranging from the upper 20s in northern MO to low 30s in central MO.

Southerly flow will increase as a result, bringing temperatures back into the 60s by Sunday.

- Widespread fog (some localized dense fog) likely Monday morning

is likely in west-central MO and

Patchy frost will also be possible Saturday morning, with light winds and lows ranging from the upper 20s in northern MO to low 30s in central MO.

- Widespread fog (some localized dense fog) likely Monday morning

is likely in west-central MO and

The streak of non-November like temperatures comes to an end Wednesday and Thursday.

- Mild and dry conditions expected through Wednesday.

Patchy frost will also be possible Saturday morning, with light winds and lows ranging from the upper 20s in northern MO to low 30s in central MO.

Cooler conditions follow late week with the potential for more frost/freeze conditions Friday and Saturday mornings.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 0502 AM CST Sun Nov 08 2026

- Mild and dry conditions expected through Wednesday.

- Foggy conditions across parts of the area Monday morning.

has formed in parts of the state and around the Missouri River

will dissipate as the sun rises and temperatures increase.

our quiet weather regime for Monday and Tuesday

dry conditions will prevail

temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s, which is 10-15 degrees above average.

The pattern changes on Wednesday as the jet stream to our north forms a troughing feature across the eastern half of the CONUS, and a ridging feature on the western half.

Impacts include gusty winds from the northwest, isolated light rain for the eastern half of Missouri, and lower temperatures more November-like for the rest of the workweek.

As the trough progresses to our east, and the ridge moves into our area by next weekend, southerly flow will allow for a return for unseasonably warm temperatures by next weekend.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

- Foggy conditions across parts of the area Monday morning.

has formed in parts of the state and around the Missouri River

will dissipate as the sun rises and temperatures increase.

MO...None.

KS...None.

The pattern changes on Wednesday as the jet stream to our north forms a troughing feature across the eastern half of the CONUS, and a ridging feature on the western half.

Impacts include gusty winds from the northwest, isolated light rain for the eastern half of Missouri, and lower temperatures more November-like for the rest of the workweek.

- Foggy conditions across parts of the area Monday morning.

has formed in parts of the state and around the Missouri River

- Widespread fog (some localized dense fog) likely Monday morning

fog (with some localized dense fog) is likely in west-central MO and

Patchy frost will also be possible Saturday morning, with light winds and lows ranging from the upper 20s in northern MO to low 30s in central MO.

temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s, which is 10-15 degrees above average.

Dry and unseasonably warm conditions (5-10 degrees above normal)

and Tuesday will range from the mid 60s in northern MO to the

low 70s south of the Missouri River.

Impacts include gusty winds from the northwest, isolated light rain for the eastern half of Missouri, and lower temperatures more November-like for the rest of the workweek.

The pattern changes on Wednesday as the jet stream to our north forms a troughing feature across the eastern half of the CONUS, and a ridging feature on the western half.

- Light rain/drizzle possible in Central MO Wednesday & Thursday

has formed in parts of the state and around the Missouri River

Impacts include gusty winds from the northwest, isolated light rain for the eastern half of Missouri, and lower temperatures more November-like for the rest of the workweek.

This will continue to keep skies mostly clear this evening.

if winds hold between 3 and 5 kts, its development may be inhibited

Low-lying areas sheltered from the wind and river valleys may still fog in this evening.

Tuesday into Wednesday morning

This will send temperatures into the mid 60s for most of the forecast area

areas further south of Interstate 70 potentially hitting the lower 70s

The rate of H5 height falls will continue to increase as the stronger vort maxima moves overhead, along with surface pressure falls. While convergence will be increasing, current guidance focuses the moisture transport from the Ozarks into eastern Missouri, while in central and western Missouri, the air remains drier that may be the result of the dry conveyor belt wrapping around the low. Because of this, rain chances continue to remain east of Hwy. 63 Wednesday into Thursday, and mostly just outside of the forecast area.

Current ensemble probabilities maintain less than 10 percent chance for measurable rain for our eastern zones, with higher probabilities into eastern Missouri.

There may be enough lift to generate some light sprinkle activity, but overall forcing and moisture are aligning better further east.

strong cold front will trail this system

The trailing cold front is progged to move through late Wednesday Night and early Thursday morning, which will push temperatures back down into the lower and mid 50s heading into the weekend.

- Cooler Next Weekend

A strong 500mb ridge is expected to amplify over the western CONUS during the weekend, reinforcing northwesterly flow into the Central CONUS which will keep temperatures generally in the 50s.

This may start deamplify late Saturday, bringing mid-level height falls back across the forecast area on Sunday, where light rain activity may be possible.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

We will need to monitor fog trends this evening and overnight

Low-lying areas sheltered from the wind and river valleys may still fog in this evening.

MO...None.

KS...None.

if winds hold between 3 and 5 kts, its development may be inhibited

While convergence will be increasing, current guidance focuses the moisture transport from the Ozarks into eastern Missouri, while in central and western Missouri, the air remains drier that may be the result of the dry conveyor belt wrapping around the low.

This may start deamplify late Saturday, bringing mid-level height falls back across the forecast area on Sunday, where light rain activity may be possible.

- Cooler Next Weekend

A strong 500mb ridge is expected to amplify over the western CONUS during the weekend, reinforcing northwesterly flow into the Central CONUS which will keep temperatures generally in the 50s.

As the trough progresses to our east, and the ridge moves into our area by next weekend, southerly flow will allow for a return for unseasonably warm temperatures by next weekend.

The rate of H5 height falls will continue to increase as the stronger vort maxima moves overhead, along with surface pressure falls. While convergence will be increasing, current guidance focuses the moisture transport from the Ozarks into eastern Missouri, while in central and western Missouri, the air remains drier that may be the result of the dry conveyor belt wrapping around the low. Because of this, rain chances continue to remain east of Hwy. 63 Wednesday into Thursday, and mostly just outside of the forecast area.

Current ensemble probabilities maintain less than 10 percent chance for measurable rain for our eastern zones, with higher probabilities into eastern Missouri.

Impacts include gusty winds from the northwest, isolated light rain for the eastern half of Missouri, and lower temperatures more November-like for the rest of the workweek.

This will send temperatures into the mid 60s for most of the forecast area

areas further south of Interstate 70 potentially hitting the lower 70s

temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s

Current ensemble probabilities maintain less than 10 percent chance for measurable rain for our eastern zones, with higher probabilities into eastern Missouri.