What wxexplained showed that day. This is not the current forecast. Today's forecast
Alerts
No watches, warnings or advisories for the Kansas City points that day.
4 versions of the page that day, oldest first.
Shown when the day began (up since 1:41 p.m. Mon Nov 9)
From the NWS discussion issued 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9.
How sure forecasters were
The discussion doesn't give an overall confidence level. It puts the chance of measurable rain at less than 10 percent in the eastern part of the area, and the outlook says the chance of widespread hazardous weather through Sunday is low.
This will continue to keep skies mostly clear this evening.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
if winds hold between 3 and 5 kts, its development may be inhibitedNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
Low-lying areas sheltered from the wind and river valleys may still fog in this evening.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
Tuesday into Wednesday morningNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
This will send temperatures into the mid 60s for most of the forecast areaNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
areas further south of Interstate 70 potentially hitting the lower 70sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
The rate of H5 height falls will continue to increase as the stronger vort maxima moves overhead, along with surface pressure falls. While convergence will be increasing, current guidance focuses the moisture transport from the Ozarks into eastern Missouri, while in central and western Missouri, the air remains drier that may be the result of the dry conveyor belt wrapping around the low. Because of this, rain chances continue to remain east of Hwy. 63 Wednesday into Thursday, and mostly just outside of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
Current ensemble probabilities maintain less than 10 percent chance for measurable rain for our eastern zones, with higher probabilities into eastern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
There may be enough lift to generate some light sprinkle activity, but overall forcing and moisture are aligning better further east.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
strong cold front will trail this systemNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
The trailing cold front is progged to move through late Wednesday Night and early Thursday morning, which will push temperatures back down into the lower and mid 50s heading into the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
- Cooler Next WeekendNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
A strong 500mb ridge is expected to amplify over the western CONUS during the weekend, reinforcing northwesterly flow into the Central CONUS which will keep temperatures generally in the 50s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
This may start deamplify late Saturday, bringing mid-level height falls back across the forecast area on Sunday, where light rain activity may be possible.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Mon Nov 9
Forecasters are watching for fog tonight. It is most likely in low-lying spots sheltered from the wind and in river valleys. No watches, warnings or advisories are in effect.
We will need to monitor fog trends this evening and overnightNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
Low-lying areas sheltered from the wind and river valleys may still fog in this evening.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
MO...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
KS...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
if winds hold between 3 and 5 kts, its development may be inhibitedNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
While convergence will be increasing, current guidance focuses the moisture transport from the Ozarks into eastern Missouri, while in central and western Missouri, the air remains drier that may be the result of the dry conveyor belt wrapping around the low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
This may start deamplify late Saturday, bringing mid-level height falls back across the forecast area on Sunday, where light rain activity may be possible.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
- Cooler Next WeekendNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
A strong 500mb ridge is expected to amplify over the western CONUS during the weekend, reinforcing northwesterly flow into the Central CONUS which will keep temperatures generally in the 50s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
As the trough progresses to our east, and the ridge moves into our area by next weekend, southerly flow will allow for a return for unseasonably warm temperatures by next weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:38 a.m. Mon Nov 9
The rate of H5 height falls will continue to increase as the stronger vort maxima moves overhead, along with surface pressure falls. While convergence will be increasing, current guidance focuses the moisture transport from the Ozarks into eastern Missouri, while in central and western Missouri, the air remains drier that may be the result of the dry conveyor belt wrapping around the low. Because of this, rain chances continue to remain east of Hwy. 63 Wednesday into Thursday, and mostly just outside of the forecast area.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
Current ensemble probabilities maintain less than 10 percent chance for measurable rain for our eastern zones, with higher probabilities into eastern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
Impacts include gusty winds from the northwest, isolated light rain for the eastern half of Missouri, and lower temperatures more November-like for the rest of the workweek.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:38 a.m. Mon Nov 9
This will send temperatures into the mid 60s for most of the forecast areaNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
areas further south of Interstate 70 potentially hitting the lower 70sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:38 a.m. Mon Nov 9
Current ensemble probabilities maintain less than 10 percent chance for measurable rain for our eastern zones, with higher probabilities into eastern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:37 p.m. Mon Nov 9
The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 12:26 p.m. Mon Nov 9).
6 to 10 days out · Nov 14–18
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 33% chance of above normal
8 to 14 days out · Nov 16–22
Temperature: 80% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 50% chance of above normal
Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.
Shown from 4:02 a.m.
From the NWS discussion issued 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10.
How sure forecasters were
The discussion doesn't say outright how sure forecasters are. It gives high probabilities of below-32 temperatures Thursday night, calls the shower chance low, and says a widespread freeze is possible Saturday morning.
one more day of above normalNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s, with light winds onNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
Temperatures Wednesday will riseNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
close to 60 degrees, with warmer temperatures for our southernNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
counties by midday, but will change as a cold front from the northNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
plows through in the afternoon hours.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
- Winds 15-20 kts, with gusts up to 30 kts Wednesday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
with localized gusts approaching 30 kts.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
a low chance for a stray shower is possible,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
especially for our far northeast counties.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
diminish during the late evening and overnight hours Wednesday intoNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
Winds Thursday will continue to come from the north, and as a result, cooler temperatures in the 40s and low 50s be the reality during the day.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
Overnight Thursday, skies will be mostly clear, in which the NBM models are giving high probabilities of temperatures below 32 degrees, especially in areas north of Interstate 70, and outside of Kansas City proper.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
Cold air advection will remain on Friday, which will help promote higher probabilities of a widespread freeze for Saturday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
- Chances for a widespread freeze possible Saturday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
A widespread freeze is possible Saturday morning. Thursday night could also drop below 32 degrees, especially north of Interstate 70 and outside Kansas City proper.
Winds 15-20 kts (knots) with gusts up to 30 kts in spots. No watches, warnings or advisories are in effect for Missouri or Kansas.
- Chances for a widespread freeze possible Saturday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
Overnight Thursday, skies will be mostly clear, in which the NBM models are giving high probabilities of temperatures below 32 degrees, especially in areas north of Interstate 70, and outside of Kansas City proper.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
- Winds 15-20 kts, with gusts up to 30 kts Wednesday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
with localized gusts approaching 30 kts.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
MO...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
KS...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
we elected to include the NBM 90th percentile inNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
our forecast to account for higher wind chances.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
However, forcing and moisture totals needed are aligned much better to our east.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
- Chances for a widespread freeze possible Saturday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
- Cooler Next WeekendNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:31 p.m. Mon Nov 9
A strong 500mb ridge is expected to amplify over the western CONUS during the weekend, reinforcing northwesterly flow into the Central CONUS which will keep temperatures generally in the 50s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:31 p.m. Mon Nov 9
plows through in the afternoon hours.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
- Winds 15-20 kts, with gusts up to 30 kts Wednesday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
The trailing cold front is progged to move through late Wednesday Night and early Thursday morning, which will push temperatures back down into the lower and mid 50s heading into the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:31 p.m. Mon Nov 9
Winds Thursday will continue to come from the north, and as a result, cooler temperatures in the 40s and low 50s be the reality during the day.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
This may start deamplify late Saturday, bringing mid-level height falls back across the forecast area on Sunday, where light rain activity may be possible.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:31 p.m. Mon Nov 9
- Chances for a widespread freeze possible Saturday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:49 a.m. Tue Nov 10
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 0501 AM CST Mon Nov 09 2026NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Mon Nov 9
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5:01 a.m. Mon Nov 9
The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 1:26 a.m. Tue Nov 10).
6 to 10 days out · Nov 15–19
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal
8 to 14 days out · Nov 17–23
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 60% chance of above normal
Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.
Shown from 5:12 a.m.
The plain version didn't pass the accuracy check (a quote or number didn't match the NWS text), so the NWS text was shown instead.
- Unseasonably mild temperatures come to an end on Wednesday as a cold front pushes into our region. - Winds 15-20 kts, with gusts up to 30 kts Wednesday afternoon. - Chances for a widespread freeze possible Saturday morning.
Current synoptic features, along with a surface high pressure center to our south will promote for one more day of above normal temperatures in the upper 60s and low 70s, with light winds on Tuesday. This is going to change as the jet stream to our north begins to dig southward into our region Tuesday night into Wednesday. The jet digging to the south will promote the development of a much more meridional pattern, with the trough strengthening, and a ridge building to our west. As a result, the warm airmass that we have been seeing, along with cold air advection in the Upper Plains will allow for the development of a low pressure center to begin developing to our north. The center of the low will continue to deepen across portions of Iowa, and eventually move into Northern Illinois by mid-day Wednesday. Temperatures Wednesday will rise close to 60 degrees, with warmer temperatures for our southern counties by midday, but will change as a cold front from the north plows through in the afternoon hours. In addition, the tight pressure gradient across Missouri will result in higher winds of 15- 20 kts, with localized gusts approaching 30 kts. Because of our pressure gradient, we elected to include the NBM 90th percentile in our forecast to account for higher wind chances. In terms of precipitation, a low chance for a stray shower is possible, especially for our far northeast counties. However, forcing and moisture totals needed are aligned much better to our east. Winds diminish during the late evening and overnight hours Wednesday into Thursday, as the low continues to progress east. Winds Thursday will continue to come from the north, and as a result, cooler temperatures in the 40s and low 50s be the reality during the day. Overnight Thursday, skies will be mostly clear, in which the NBM models are giving high probabilities of temperatures below 32 degrees, especially in areas north of Interstate 70, and outside of Kansas City proper. Cold air advection will remain on Friday, which will help promote higher probabilities of a widespread freeze for Saturday morning.
MO...None. KS...None.
The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 1:26 a.m. Tue Nov 10).
6 to 10 days out · Nov 15–19
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal
8 to 14 days out · Nov 17–23
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 60% chance of above normal
Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.
Shown from 3:22 p.m.
The plain version didn't pass the accuracy check (a quote or number didn't match the NWS text), so the NWS text was shown instead.
- Well above normal temperatures today. - Cold front moves through tomorrow morning, bringing in cooler temperatures and breezy northwesterly winds. - Much cooler temperatures are expected Thursday and Friday. A region wide freeze is likely both Thursday night and Friday night. - Dry conditions are expected to persist through at least Saturday.
Current H5 analysis shows west northwesterly flow in place over the region, with a shortwave trough traversing east southeast out of the northern High Plains. At the surface, a subtle pseudo stationary front is draped west to east near the Interstate 70 corridor, with a 1022 mb high centered over Iowa. This has resulted in clear skies, light and variable winds, and temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s as of 2 PM. Some patchy fog may be possible early Wednesday morning, with overnight lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s. The aforementioned mid/upper shortwave trough across the northern High Plains will quickly move eastward into the Upper Mississippi Valley by early Wednesday morning and dig further south into the Central CONUS by Wednesday afternoon, with the accompanying surface low moving eastward across Iowa and into north central Illinois. This will send a cold front through the CWA tomorrow morning, with winds turning westerly and eventually northwesterly. Winds will increase by late Wednesday morning, with gusts as high as 25 to 30 mph through mid afternoon. Cold air advection behind the front will yield cooler temperatures for tomorrow, with afternoon highs forecast to reach the upper 50s to mid 60s. Winds should begin to relax by tomorrow evening as the pressure gradient slackens, and light winds and mostly clear skies Wednesday night into Thursday morning should allow for temperatures to drop into the upper 30s to lower 40s. A reinforcing shot of even colder and drier air should move north to south through the region Thursday morning, yielding highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s on Thursday afternoon. With light winds and mostly clear skies again Thursday night, the entire CWA is forecast to dip below freezing early Friday morning. Due to the growing season being over, we will not be issuing any frost/freeze products for portions of the CWA that have not received a freeze yet. Surface high pressure builds in directly overhead on Friday, with the region still under the influence of the deep closed mid/upper low over the Great Lakes and northerly flow aloft. Highs for Friday should only reach the mid 40s to lower 50s, with another freeze expected CWA wide Friday night into Saturday morning. At least marginally warmer temperatures are probable this weekend into early next week, but just how much warmer is unknown at this time. NBM MaxT 25th and 75th percentiles for MCI on Sunday is 48 degrees and 59 degrees, respectively, with 49 and 61 degrees, respectively, for Monday. Some guidance wants to bring a shortwave trough into the Southern Plains on Sunday, which will bring in some chance PoPs (20% to 30%).
MO...None. KS...None.
The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 1:56 p.m. Tue Nov 10).
6 to 10 days out · Nov 16–20
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal
8 to 14 days out · Nov 18–24
Temperature: 50% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 60% chance of above normal
Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.