What wxexplained showed that day. This is not the current forecast. Today's forecast
Alerts
No watches, warnings or advisories for the Kansas City points that day.
5 versions of the page that day, oldest first.
Shown when the day began (up since 3:22 p.m. Tue Nov 10)
The plain version didn't pass the accuracy check (a quote or number didn't match the NWS text), so the NWS text was shown instead.
- Well above normal temperatures today. - Cold front moves through tomorrow morning, bringing in cooler temperatures and breezy northwesterly winds. - Much cooler temperatures are expected Thursday and Friday. A region wide freeze is likely both Thursday night and Friday night. - Dry conditions are expected to persist through at least Saturday.
Current H5 analysis shows west northwesterly flow in place over the region, with a shortwave trough traversing east southeast out of the northern High Plains. At the surface, a subtle pseudo stationary front is draped west to east near the Interstate 70 corridor, with a 1022 mb high centered over Iowa. This has resulted in clear skies, light and variable winds, and temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s as of 2 PM. Some patchy fog may be possible early Wednesday morning, with overnight lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s. The aforementioned mid/upper shortwave trough across the northern High Plains will quickly move eastward into the Upper Mississippi Valley by early Wednesday morning and dig further south into the Central CONUS by Wednesday afternoon, with the accompanying surface low moving eastward across Iowa and into north central Illinois. This will send a cold front through the CWA tomorrow morning, with winds turning westerly and eventually northwesterly. Winds will increase by late Wednesday morning, with gusts as high as 25 to 30 mph through mid afternoon. Cold air advection behind the front will yield cooler temperatures for tomorrow, with afternoon highs forecast to reach the upper 50s to mid 60s. Winds should begin to relax by tomorrow evening as the pressure gradient slackens, and light winds and mostly clear skies Wednesday night into Thursday morning should allow for temperatures to drop into the upper 30s to lower 40s. A reinforcing shot of even colder and drier air should move north to south through the region Thursday morning, yielding highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s on Thursday afternoon. With light winds and mostly clear skies again Thursday night, the entire CWA is forecast to dip below freezing early Friday morning. Due to the growing season being over, we will not be issuing any frost/freeze products for portions of the CWA that have not received a freeze yet. Surface high pressure builds in directly overhead on Friday, with the region still under the influence of the deep closed mid/upper low over the Great Lakes and northerly flow aloft. Highs for Friday should only reach the mid 40s to lower 50s, with another freeze expected CWA wide Friday night into Saturday morning. At least marginally warmer temperatures are probable this weekend into early next week, but just how much warmer is unknown at this time. NBM MaxT 25th and 75th percentiles for MCI on Sunday is 48 degrees and 59 degrees, respectively, with 49 and 61 degrees, respectively, for Monday. Some guidance wants to bring a shortwave trough into the Southern Plains on Sunday, which will bring in some chance PoPs (20% to 30%).
MO...None. KS...None.
The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 1:56 p.m. Tue Nov 10).
6 to 10 days out · Nov 16–20
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal
8 to 14 days out · Nov 18–24
Temperature: 50% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 60% chance of above normal
Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.
Shown from 3:12 a.m.
From the NWS discussion issued 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters call a hard freeze likely Friday and Saturday mornings. The Sunday-Monday rain is less certain: it 'may' happen, and amounts and coverage will become clearer closer to the weekend.
Today will be the last day of unseasonably warm temperatures (10-15NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
cold front will pass through Missouri during the morning hours,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
which will result in a wind shift from southwest to northwest.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures will still be able to climb into the 60sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
wind speeds increasing to 15-20kts, with gustsNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
approaching or slightly exceeding 30ktsNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Winds die down in theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
evening as the low continuesNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
front the north will progress into our region.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
cold air advection to increase overnight and throughout the dayNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
expected to get up into the mid 40s to low 50s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the time we get to Thursday night into Friday morning, skies will be mostly clear, with higher concentrations of clouds in eastern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Regardless, any sensitive plants will need to be protected.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The trough will continue to dig, and temperatures will remain in the 40s as the jet will keep milder temperatures to our south.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures below freezing are expected overnight Friday into Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The weather will remain quiet during the day on Saturday as we continue to see influence from our airmass from the north with response from the jet stream and surface high pressure north of Lake Superior.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the middle of the weekend, the pattern becomes much more zonal, but a shortwave may bring the return of rain on Sunday into Monday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Highest chances remain to our south and west, but exact totals and spatial coverage for our area will become more clear as we get closer to the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
A hard freeze is likely. Thursday night much of the state drops to the mid 20s; Friday night temperatures fall below freezing again. No frost or freeze alerts will be issued since the usual first hard-freeze date has passed, so protect sensitive plants.
Windy Wednesday, with gusts approaching or slightly exceeding 30kts (knots), easing in the evening.
No watches, warnings or advisories are in effect for the Missouri or Kansas parts of the area.
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures below freezing are expected overnight Friday into Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Since the climatological date for our first hard-freeze has passed, any type of issuance to reflect a frost/freeze headline will not be issued.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Regardless, any sensitive plants will need to be protected.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
- Windy conditions Wednesday, with gusts approaching 30kts.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
approaching or slightly exceeding 30ktsNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Winds die down in theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
MO...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
KS...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the middle of the weekend, the pattern becomes much more zonal, but a shortwave may bring the return of rain on Sunday into Monday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Highest chances remain to our south and west, but exact totals and spatial coverage for our area will become more clear as we get closer to the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the time we get to Thursday night into Friday morning, skies will be mostly clear, with higher concentrations of clouds in eastern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
With light winds and mostly clear skies again Thursday night, the entire CWA is forecast to dip below freezing early Friday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
approaching or slightly exceeding 30ktsNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Winds will increase by late Wednesday morning, with gusts as high as 25 to 30 mph through mid afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
expected to get up into the mid 40s to low 50s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
A reinforcing shot of even colder and drier air should move north to south through the region Thursday morning, yielding highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s on Thursday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
By the middle of the weekend, the pattern becomes much more zonal, but a shortwave may bring the return of rain on Sunday into Monday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Highest chances remain to our south and west, but exact totals and spatial coverage for our area will become more clear as we get closer to the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Some guidance wants to bring a shortwave trough into the Southern Plains on Sunday, which will bring in some chance PoPs (20% to 30%).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
With light winds and mostly clear skies again Thursday night, the entire CWA is forecast to dip below freezing early Friday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
- Chances for a widespread freeze possible Saturday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5 a.m. Tue Nov 10
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 3:06 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 12:26 a.m. Wed Nov 11).
6 to 10 days out · Nov 16–20
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal
8 to 14 days out · Nov 18–24
Temperature: 50% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 60% chance of above normal
Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.
Shown from 5:12 a.m.
From the NWS discussion issued 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters say a hard freeze is likely Friday and Saturday mornings. Rain Sunday into Monday is only a 'may', with amounts and coverage still unclear. The outlook says the chance of widespread hazardous weather Thursday through Tuesday is low.
Today will be the last day of unseasonably warm temperatures (10-15 degrees above average)NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures will still be able to climb into the 60s as theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
a cold front will pass through Missouri during the morning hours,NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
which will result in a wind shift from southwest to northwest.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
- Warm temperatures come to an end Wednesday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
will result in wind speeds increasing to 15-20kts, with gustsNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
approaching or slightly exceeding 30kts. Winds die down in theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
evening as the low continues to progress to the east.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Wednesday night into Thursday morning time frame, a secondary coldNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Because of this cold surge, highs on Thursday are onlyNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
expected to get up into the mid 40s to low 50s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the time we get to Thursday night into Friday morning, skies will be mostly clear, with higher concentrations of clouds in eastern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The trough will continue to dig, and temperatures will remain in the 40s as the jet will keep milder temperatures to our south.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures below freezing are expected overnight Friday into Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The weather will remain quiet during the day on Saturday as we continue to see influence from our airmass from the north with response from the jet stream and surface high pressure north of Lake Superior.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the middle of the weekend, the pattern becomes much more zonal, but a shortwave may bring the return of rain on Sunday into Monday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Highest chances remain to our south and west, but exact totals and spatial coverage for our area will become more clear as we get closer to the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5 a.m. Wed Nov 11
A hard freeze is likely. Friday morning, much of Missouri drops to the mid 20s. No frost/freeze alert will be issued since the usual first hard-freeze date has passed, but protect sensitive plants. No alerts are in effect.
Windy conditions, with gusts approaching or slightly exceeding 30kts (knots), before winds die down in the evening.
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Since the climatological date for our first hard-freeze has passed, any type of issuance to reflect a frost/freeze headline will not be issued.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Regardless, any sensitive plants will need to be protected.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
MO...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
KS...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
- Windy conditions Wednesday, with gusts approaching 30kts.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
approaching or slightly exceeding 30kts. Winds die down in theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
evening as the low continues to progress to the east.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the middle of the weekend, the pattern becomes much more zonal, but a shortwave may bring the return of rain on Sunday into Monday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Highest chances remain to our south and west, but exact totals and spatial coverage for our area will become more clear as we get closer to the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the time we get to Thursday night into Friday morning, skies will be mostly clear, with higher concentrations of clouds in eastern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
A region wide freeze is likely both Thursday night and Friday night.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
By the middle of the weekend, the pattern becomes much more zonal, but a shortwave may bring the return of rain on Sunday into Monday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Highest chances remain to our south and west, but exact totals and spatial coverage for our area will become more clear as we get closer to the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Some guidance wants to bring a shortwave trough into the Southern Plains on Sunday, which will bring in some chance PoPs (20% to 30%).NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
expected to get up into the mid 40s to low 50s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
A reinforcing shot of even colder and drier air should move north to south through the region Thursday morning, yielding highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s on Thursday afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
approaching or slightly exceeding 30kts. Winds die down in theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures will still be able to climb into the 60s as theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Winds will increase by late Wednesday morning, with gusts as high as 25 to 30 mph through mid afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
Cold air advection behind the front will yield cooler temperatures for tomorrow, with afternoon highs forecast to reach the upper 50s to mid 60s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
approaching or slightly exceeding 30kts. Winds die down in theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 5:05 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Winds will increase by late Wednesday morning, with gusts as high as 25 to 30 mph through mid afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 10:44 p.m. Tue Nov 10
The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 12:26 a.m. Wed Nov 11).
6 to 10 days out · Nov 16–20
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal
8 to 14 days out · Nov 18–24
Temperature: 50% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 60% chance of above normal
Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.
Shown from 11:41 a.m.
From the NWS discussion issued 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters call a hard freeze likely Friday and Saturday mornings. Rain Sunday into Monday is only a maybe, with amounts and coverage still unclear. The outlook says the chance of widespread hazardous weather Thursday through Tuesday is low.
Today will be the last day of unseasonably warm temperaturesNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
(10-15 degrees above average)NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
able to climb into the 60sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
a cold front will pass throughNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Missouri during the morning hours, which will result in a windNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
shift from southwest to northwest.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
speeds increasing to 15-20kts, with gusts approaching or slightly exceeding 30kts.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Winds die down in the evening as theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
night into Thursday morning time frame, a secondary cold frontNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
cold air advection to increase overnightNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Thursday. Because of this cold surge, highs on Thursday are onlyNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
expected to get up into the mid 40s to low 50s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the time we get to Thursday night into Friday morning, skies will be mostly clear, with higher concentrations of clouds in eastern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The trough will continue to dig, and temperatures will remain in the 40s as the jet will keep milder temperatures to our south.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures below freezing are expected overnight Friday into Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The weather will remain quiet during the day on Saturday as we continue to see influence from our airmass from the north with response from the jet stream and surface high pressure north of Lake Superior.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the middle of the weekend, the pattern becomes much more zonal, but a shortwave may bring the return of rain on Sunday into Monday.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Highest chances remain to our south and west, but exact totals and spatial coverage for our area will become more clear as we get closer to the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Hard freeze likely. Friday morning, much of the state dips to the mid 20s; Saturday morning, below freezing expected. No frost/freeze warning will be issued since the usual first hard-freeze date passed, but protect sensitive plants.
Windy conditions Wednesday, with gusts approaching 30kts (knots), dying down in the evening.
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures below freezing are expected overnight Friday into Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Since the climatological date for our first hard-freeze has passed, any type of issuance to reflect a frost/freeze headline will not be issued.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Regardless, any sensitive plants will need to be protected.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
MO...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
KS...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
- Windy conditions Wednesday, with gusts approaching 30kts.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Winds die down in the evening as theNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Highest chances remain to our south and west, but exact totals and spatial coverage for our area will become more clear as we get closer to the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
By the time we get to Thursday night into Friday morning, skies will be mostly clear, with higher concentrations of clouds in eastern Missouri.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The weather will remain quiet during the day on Saturday as we continue to see influence from our airmass from the north with response from the jet stream and surface high pressure north of Lake Superior.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 6:47 a.m. Wed Nov 11).
6 to 10 days out · Nov 16–20
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal
8 to 14 days out · Nov 18–24
Temperature: 50% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 60% chance of above normal
Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.
Shown from 1:41 p.m.
From the NWS discussion issued 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11.
How sure forecasters were
Forecasters say the hard freeze Friday morning is likely. Thursday morning sprinkles are only a 25-30% chance. Where Sunday-Monday precipitation falls is still uncertain because computer models keep shifting it south.
clear skies have allowed temperatures to climb into the 60sNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
- Gusty northwest winds will continue through the afternoon, with sustained winds of 15-20 mph and gusts up to 30 mph.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
This is expected to continue through sunset thisNWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
- A few sprinkles are possible (25-30%) Thursday morning along and east of I-29/I-49.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
While the best forcing will remain east of the area, closer to the core of the shortwave, enough lift may (25-30% chance) be present across northern MO to squeeze some sprinkles, or perhaps a bit of drizzle, out of the low-level clouds that are expected to be present tomorrow morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
The most favorable timing for this looks to be between 6 AM and 12 PM for areas along and east of I-29/I-49.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
As the shortwave continues to move southeast, forcing will subside and the forecast returns to a dry state tomorrow afternoon.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
This second cold front will also bring another shot of cooler air to the area, which will help to limit high temperatures to the upper 40s and lower 50s tomorrow.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
High pressure begins to build into the Lower Missouri River Valley tomorrow afternoon, which will allow winds to become very light (less than 5 mph) and skies to clear through the overnight period.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 20s to around 30F across northern MO by Friday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
This will likely result in the first hard freeze of the year, however, with the growing season already behind us, no Frost/Freeze products will be issued.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
Highs will largely be in the upper 40s and lower 50s each day, with lows dropping into the upper 20s and lower 30s each night.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
This forecast is 5-10 degrees below the seasonal normals for this time of year.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
The next chance for precipitation comes Sunday afternoon into Monday morning (20-30% along and south of the MO River) as a shortwave moves across the Central Plains.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow temperatures to climb back towards, or sightly above, seasonal normals (mid-50s) through the first half of next week.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
Model guidance has been shifting this feature further south with each run, so trends will need to be monitored over the coming forecast cycles to determine the exact placement of any precipitation.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
The first hard freeze of the year is likely in northern Missouri Friday morning. No Frost or Freeze warnings will be issued because the growing season is over, but protect sensitive outdoor plants. No watches, warnings or advisories are in effect.
Temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 20s to around 30F across northern MO by Friday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
This will likely result in the first hard freeze of the year, however, with the growing season already behind us, no Frost/Freeze products will be issued.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
This will still be a situation to protect any sensitive outdoor plants despite the lack of any headlines.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
MO...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
KS...None.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
Model guidance has been shifting this feature further south with each run, so trends will need to be monitored over the coming forecast cycles to determine the exact placement of any precipitation.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
The first hard freeze of the year is likely Friday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 20s to around 30F across northern MO by Friday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This will allow for much of the state to see temperatures below freezing, getting down to the mid 20s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
This second cold front will also bring another shot of cooler air to the area, which will help to limit high temperatures to the upper 40s and lower 50s tomorrow.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
- A few sprinkles are possible (25-30%) Thursday morning along and east of I-29/I-49.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
expected to get up into the mid 40s to low 50s.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The next chance for precipitation comes Sunday afternoon into Monday morning (20-30% along and south of the MO River) as a shortwave moves across the Central Plains.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
Highest chances remain to our south and west, but exact totals and spatial coverage for our area will become more clear as we get closer to the weekend.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, previous Area Forecast Discussion, 11:33 a.m. Wed Nov 11
The first hard freeze of the year is likely Friday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
Highs will largely be in the upper 40s and lower 50s each day, with lows dropping into the upper 20s and lower 30s each night.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
- Hard-Freeze likely Friday and Saturday Morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Hazardous Weather Outlook, 5 a.m. Wed Nov 11
Temperatures are expected to drop into the upper 20s to around 30F across northern MO by Friday morning.NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, Area Forecast Discussion, 1:31 p.m. Wed Nov 11
The NWS forecast for Downtown Kansas City as it stood then (updated 12:26 p.m. Wed Nov 11).
6 to 10 days out · Nov 16–20
Temperature: 70% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 40% chance of above normal
8 to 14 days out · Nov 18–24
Temperature: 50% chance of above normal
Precipitation: 60% chance of above normal
Climate Prediction Center outlooks for Downtown Kansas City: the chance the period is warmer or colder, wetter or drier than normal for the time of year. Not a day-by-day forecast.